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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
M'gladbach
S S T T S
1–1
Full-time
Augsburg
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 34%
39%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
55%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
4 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 9. · Augsburg 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 22 7 2 +62 73
2 RB Leipzig 31 19 6 6 +25 63
3 Hoffenheim 31 15 13 3 +26 58
4 Dortmund 31 16 9 6 +30 57
5 Hertha 31 14 4 13 +1 46
6 FC Koln 32 11 12 9 +7 45
7 Werder Bremen 32 13 6 13 +0 45
8 Freiburg 31 13 5 13 -17 44
9 M'gladbach 31 12 6 13 -4 42
10 Schalke 04 31 11 8 12 +7 41
11 Ein Frankfurt 31 11 8 12 -3 41
12 Leverkusen 31 10 6 15 -6 36
13 Augsburg 31 9 8 14 -16 35
14 Mainz 31 9 6 16 -11 33
15 Wolfsburg 31 9 6 16 -19 33
16 Hamburg 31 9 6 16 -29 33
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 31 8 5 18 -21 29
18 Darmstadt 31 7 3 21 -32 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.