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Bundesliga
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Ein Frankfurt
T T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Dortmund
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,2
This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 50%
25%
75%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
72%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15% Possession 85%
6 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
3 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 16. · Dortmund 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 32 26 4 2 +60 82
2 Dortmund 32 24 5 3 +49 77
3 Leverkusen 32 17 6 9 +16 57
4 M'gladbach 32 15 4 13 +14 49
5 Hertha 32 14 7 11 +1 49
6 Schalke 04 32 14 6 12 -1 48
7 Mainz 32 13 7 12 +2 46
8 FC Koln 32 10 11 11 -4 41
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 32 10 10 12 -7 40
10 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 -5 39
11 Hamburg 32 10 8 14 -7 38
12 Augsburg 32 9 10 13 -8 37
13 Hoffenheim 32 9 10 13 -11 37
14 Darmstadt 32 8 11 13 -14 35
15 Werder Bremen 32 9 7 16 -16 34
16 Ein Frankfurt 32 8 9 15 -18 33
17 Stuttgart 32 9 6 17 -21 33
18 Hannover 32 6 4 22 -30 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Dortmund
1–0 S. Aigner
M. Hasebe
14′
15′
🟨 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Szabolcs Huszti 🟨
38′
43′
🟨 Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Papastathopoulos
↦ E. Durm
T. Chandler 🔁
↦ Ä. Ben-Hatira
59′
65′
🔁 C. Pulisic
↦ M. Hummels
65′
🔁 G. Castro
↦ P. Aubameyang
Timothy Chandler 🟨
73′
73′
🟨 Marcel Schmelzer
Constant Djakpa 🟨
76′
L. Waldschmidt 🔁
↦ L. Castaignos
77′
Stefan Aigner 🟨
80′
M. Stendera 🔁
↦ S. Aigner
84′
Marc Stendera 🟨
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

1 L. Hradecky G
4 M. Russ D
15 C. Djakpa D
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
2 Y. Regäsel D
8 S. Huszti M
20 M. Hasebe D
32 Ä. Ben-Hatira M
16 S. Aigner M
30 L. Castaignos F
Bench (7)
22 T. Chandler
24 L. Waldschmidt
21 M. Stendera
10 M. Fabián
11 M. Gaćinović
13 H. Lindner
28 S. Kittel

Dortmund

38 R. Bürki G
15 M. Hummels D
29 M. Schmelzer D
37 E. Durm M
18 N. Şahin M
6 S. Bender D
23 S. Kagawa M
10 H. Mkhitaryan M
20 A. Ramos F
17 P. Aubameyang F
11 M. Reus M
Bench (7)
25 S. Papastathopoulos
22 C. Pulisic
27 G. Castro
1 R. Weidenfeller
14 M. Leitner
28 M. Ginter
30 F. Passlack

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.