Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Dortmund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
32 | 26 | 4 | 2 | +60 | 82 |
| 2 |
Dortmund
|
32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | +49 | 77 |
| 3 |
Leverkusen
|
32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | +16 | 57 |
| 4 |
M'gladbach
|
32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | +14 | 49 |
| 5 |
Hertha
|
32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 49 |
| 6 |
Schalke 04
|
32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | -1 | 48 |
| 7 |
Mainz
|
32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | +2 | 46 |
| 8 |
FC Koln
|
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
FC Ingolstadt 04
|
32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | -7 | 40 |
| 10 |
Wolfsburg
|
32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -5 | 39 |
| 11 |
Hamburg
|
32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 |
Augsburg
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 |
Hoffenheim
|
32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 37 |
| 14 |
Darmstadt
|
32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -14 | 35 |
| 15 |
Werder Bremen
|
32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | -16 | 34 |
| 16 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -18 | 33 |
| 17 |
Stuttgart
|
32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 |
Hannover
|
32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | -30 | 22 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Hradecky
G
H. Mkhitaryan
M
P. Aubameyang
F
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Darmstadt
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Mainz
Leverkusen
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich
Ein Frankfurt
Daniel Siebert · 86 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.