Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rotherham
Blackburn
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Middlesbrough
|
45 | 26 | 10 | 9 | +32 | 88 |
| 2 |
Burnley
|
44 | 24 | 15 | 5 | +33 | 87 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
42 | 24 | 13 | 5 | +30 | 85 |
| 4 |
Hull
|
42 | 23 | 10 | 9 | +36 | 79 |
| 5 |
Derby
|
42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | +18 | 71 |
| 6 |
Sheffield Weds
|
41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | +19 | 68 |
| 7 |
Cardiff
|
44 | 17 | 16 | 11 | +8 | 67 |
| 8 |
Ipswich
|
44 | 16 | 15 | 13 | +0 | 63 |
| 9 |
Birmingham
|
45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | +4 | 62 |
| 10 |
Brentford
|
44 | 17 | 8 | 19 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |
Preston
|
44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | -1 | 58 |
| 12 |
Leeds
|
44 | 14 | 16 | 14 | -7 | 58 |
| 13 |
QPR
|
44 | 13 | 18 | 13 | +0 | 57 |
| 14 |
Wolves
|
44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | -6 | 54 |
| 15 |
Reading
|
44 | 13 | 13 | 18 | -4 | 52 |
| 16 |
Huddersfield
|
44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | -3 | 51 |
| 17 |
Nott'm Forest
|
44 | 12 | 15 | 17 | -5 | 51 |
| 18 |
Blackburn
|
44 | 11 | 16 | 17 | -3 | 49 |
| 19 |
Rotherham
|
44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | -13 | 49 |
| 20 |
Bristol City
|
44 | 12 | 13 | 19 | -20 | 49 |
| 21 |
Fulham
|
44 | 11 | 15 | 18 | -11 | 48 |
| 22 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
44 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -28 | 39 |
| 23 |
Charlton
|
44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -38 | 37 |
| 24 |
Bolton
|
45 | 5 | 15 | 25 | -39 | 30 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Wolves
Rotherham
Rotherham
Huddersfield
Rotherham
Nott'm Forest
Milton Keynes Dons
Rotherham
Bristol City
Rotherham
Steve Martin · 46 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.