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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Stromsgodset
S T T T U
0–2
Full-time
Stabaek
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,8
1,2
Scored
0,8
0,2
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,8
This season — Eliteserien · 13/11 matches
Win Ø 21%
15%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
54%
36%
Both score Ø 36%
54%
18%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,6
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 16. · Stabaek 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 14 9 2 3 +20 29
2 Bodo/Glimt 12 8 2 2 +12 26
3 Odd 12 8 1 3 +6 25
4 Brann 14 6 4 4 +2 22
5 Valerenga 13 6 3 4 +4 21
6 Rosenborg 14 6 3 5 -2 21
7 Viking 12 5 3 4 +1 18
8 Kristiansund 13 5 3 5 -1 18
9 Haugesund 13 4 4 5 +2 16
10 Lillestrom 13 4 3 6 -4 15
11 Ranheim 14 4 3 7 -5 15
12 Tromso 13 4 1 8 -11 13
13 Sarpsborg 08 12 2 6 4 -2 12
14 Mjondalen 13 2 6 5 -6 12
15 Stabaek 11 3 2 6 -7 11
16 Stromsgodset 13 2 4 7 -9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Stabaek
Amahl Pellegrino
penalty missed
7′
14′
Ola Brynhildsen 0–1
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Mounir Hamoud 🔁
↦ Stian Ringstad
25′
32′
🟨 Steinar Stromnes
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Andreas Hanche-Olsen
Mostafa Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ Muhammed Keita
65′
73′
🟨 Ola Brynhildsen
Johan Hove 🔁
↦ Henning Hauger
75′
81′
Luc Kassi 0–2
Emil Bohinen
86′
🔁 Madis Vihmann
↦ Ola Brynhildsen
90′
🔁 Herman Geelmuyden
↦ Hugo Vetlesen
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-3-3
1 Viljar Myhra G
26 Lars Christopher Vilsvik D
5 Jakob Glesnes D
39 Lars Saetra D
25 Stian Ringstad D
23 Martin Spelmann M
6 Henning Hauger M
7 Herman Stengel M
11 Kristoffer Tokstad F
77 Muhammed Keita F
90 Amahl Pellegrino F
Bench (7)
40 Morten Saetra
2 Mounir Hamoud
8 Johan Hove
18 Martin Ovenstad
19 Halldor Stenevik
30 Mostafa Abdellaoue
9 Sebastian Pedersen

Coach: H. Pedersen

Stabaek

4-4-2
12 Marcus Sandberg G
16 Andreas Hanche-Olsen D
5 Steinar Stromnes D
4 Vadim Demidov D
18 Jeppe Moe D
2 Ronald Hernández M
6 Luc Kassi M
8 Emil Bohinen M
25 Hugo Vetlesen M
20 Ola Brynhildsen F
17 Daniel Braaten F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
21 Madis Vihmann
30 Peder Vogt
3 Nikolaj Kirk
29 Oscar Aga
7 Raymond Gyasi
88 Herman Geelmuyden

Coach: J. Jönsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.