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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Valerenga
T T U S S
1–1
Full-time
Kristiansund
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
50%
43%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
50%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
50%
36%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
16 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 6. · Kristiansund 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 17 11 3 3 +23 36
2 Odd 16 10 2 4 +6 32
3 Bodo/Glimt 14 9 2 3 +10 29
4 Brann 17 8 5 4 +6 29
5 Rosenborg 16 7 4 5 +2 25
6 Valerenga 14 7 3 4 +10 24
7 Haugesund 16 5 6 5 +6 21
8 Kristiansund 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Viking 15 5 4 6 -5 19
10 Lillestrom 16 5 3 8 -7 18
11 Mjondalen 16 3 8 5 -4 17
12 Tromso 16 5 2 9 -13 17
13 Stabaek 16 4 4 8 -7 16
14 Ranheim 16 4 3 9 -12 15
15 Sarpsborg 08 16 2 8 6 -5 14
16 Stromsgodset 15 2 4 9 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Kristiansund
6′
🟨 Bent Sormo
8′
Bent Sormo 0–1
Magnus Lekven 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–1
Efrain Juarez 🟨
51′
54′
🔁 Liridon Kalludra
↦ Thomas Amang
Mohammed Abu 🔁
↦ Felix Horn Myhre
60′
70′
🟨 Haris Cirak
71′
🔁 Meinhard Olsen
↦ Sondre Sorlie
Deyver Vega 🔁
↦ Magnus Lekven
73′
1–1 Matthías Vilhjálmsson
Bard Finne
76′
80′
🔁 Jesper Isaksen
↦ Haris Cirak
Magnus Grødem 🔁
↦ Aron Dønnum
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
13 Kristoffer Klaesson G
5 Efrain Juarez D
3 Johan Bjørdal D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
8 Magnus Lekven M
6 Herolind Shala M
26 Aron Dønnum M
10 Matthías Vilhjálmsson M
23 Felix Horn Myhre M
11 Bard Finne F
Bench (7)
1 Kjetil Haug
2 Markus Nakkim
14 Mohammed Abu
18 Christian Dahle Borchgrevink
29 Magnus Grødem
16 Erik Israelsson
7 Deyver Vega

Coach: R. Deila

Kristiansund

4-4-1-1
1 Sean McDermott G
22 Bent Sormo D
5 Dan Peter Ulvestad D
4 Christophe Psyche D
3 Christoffer Aasbak D
13 Bendik Bye M
8 Haris Cirak M
23 Pal Erik Ulvestad M
24 Sondre Sorlie M
7 Torgil Owre Gjertsen F
20 Thomas Amang F
Bench (7)
30 Serigne Mor Mbaye
25 Henrik Gjesdal
15 Erlend Sivertsen
14 Jesper Isaksen
10 Liridon Kalludra
17 Kristoffer Hoven
16 Meinhard Olsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.