Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ajax
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 4 |
| 2 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 4 |
| 3 |
Vitesse
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 |
Heerenveen
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Willem II
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
VVV Venlo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 12 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 13 |
Heracles
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 14 |
For Sittard
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 |
Den Haag
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Zwolle
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Waalwijk
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 |
FC Emmen
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Heracles
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
VVV Venlo
Heracles
Heerenveen
Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.