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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Arsenal

S T S T S

0–2

Full-time

Man City

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%

9 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 9

7 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Watford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Man United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Fulham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Burnley	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-2	0
8	Brighton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.