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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Stromsgodset

T S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Stabaek

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 42%

59%

24%

Points per game

1,9

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

59%

Both score Ø 53%

47%

59%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 16

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stromsgodset 4. · Stabaek 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	17	12	4	1	+27	40
2	Odd	18	10	4	4	+9	34
3	Brann	18	10	3	5	+11	33
4	Stromsgodset	17	10	2	5	+9	32
5	Sarpsborg 08	18	9	4	5	+2	31
6	Haugesund	18	8	4	6	+2	28
7	Viking	17	8	3	6	-1	27
8	Sogndal	18	6	8	4	+2	26
9	Molde	17	7	4	6	+2	25
10	Tromso	18	5	6	7	-5	21
11	Lillestrom	18	5	5	8	-3	20
12	Bodo/Glimt	18	5	4	9	-5	19
13	Aalesund	18	4	4	10	-12	16
14	Valerenga	17	4	3	10	-7	15
15	Stabaek	17	4	3	10	-7	15
16	Start	18	0	7	11	-24	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	9	9	0	0	+23	27
2	Stromsgodset	9	8	1	0	+15	25
3	Brann	8	7	1	0	+15	22
4	Odd	10	6	2	2	+7	20
5	Haugesund	9	5	3	1	+10	18
6	Sarpsborg 08	9	5	3	1	+9	18
7	Molde	9	5	2	2	+9	17
8	Lillestrom	9	4	2	3	+5	14
9	Sogndal	9	3	5	1	+2	14
10	Aalesund	9	3	3	3	+4	12
11	Viking	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Bodo/Glimt	10	3	2	5	-3	11
13	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+3	10
14	Tromso	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Stabaek	8	2	1	5	-5	7
16	Start	9	0	3	6	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	9	5	1	3	-2	16
2	Odd	8	4	2	2	+2	14
3	Rosenborg	8	3	4	1	+4	13
4	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	1	4	-7	13
5	Sogndal	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Tromso	10	3	3	4	-5	12
7	Brann	10	3	2	5	-4	11
8	Haugesund	9	3	1	5	-8	10
9	Stabaek	9	2	2	5	-2	8
10	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	2	4	-2	8
11	Molde	8	2	2	4	-7	8
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	1	5	-6	7
13	Lillestrom	9	1	3	5	-8	6
14	Valerenga	9	1	2	6	-10	5
15	Start	9	0	4	5	-8	4
16	Aalesund	9	1	1	7	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.