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Premier League
Referee: Martin Atkinson
Sunderland
U S S U T
1–2
Full-time
Middlesbrough
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sunderland Middlesbrough
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sunderland 17. · Middlesbrough 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Man United 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Hull 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Chelsea 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Everton 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Tottenham 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Burnley 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 West Brom 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Liverpool 2 1 0 1 -1 3
10 Swansea 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Arsenal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Watford 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Leicester 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -2 1
16 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 West Ham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Bournemouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Crystal Palace 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sunderland Middlesbrough
13′
C. Stuani 0–1
Álvaro Negredo
26′
🟨 Adam Clayton
S. Pienaar 🔁
↦ J. OShea
37′
45′
C. Stuani 0–2
Álvaro Negredo
Half-time 0–2
J. Lens 🔁
↦ P. McNair
46′
59′
🔁 A. Adomah
↦ G. Ramírez
1–2 P. van Aanholt
71′
Lynden Gooch 🟨
81′
J. Asoro 🔁
↦ D. Watmore
81′
83′
🔁 Daniel Ayala
↦ Nsue
91′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ Álvaro Negredo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
1 V. Mannone G
16 J. O'Shea D
3 P. van Aanholt D
5 P. Djilobodji D
22 D. Love D
8 J. Rodwell M
19 P. McNair M
14 D. Watmore M
44 A. Januzaj M
46 L. Gooch M
18 J. Defoe F
Bench (7)
20 S. Pienaar
17 J. Lens
29 J. Asoro
13 J. Pickford
45 J. Robson
34 T. Robson
10 W. Khazri

Coach: D. Moyes

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
12 B. Guzan G
17 Barragán D
3 G. Friend D
6 B. Gibson D
19 S. Downing M
24 Nsue D
8 A. Clayton M
21 G. Ramírez M
34 A. Forshaw M
10 Álvaro Negredo F
18 C. Stuani M
Bench (7)
27 A. Adomah
4 Daniel Ayala
35 D. Nugent
23 J. De Sart
11 V. Fischer
15 A. Baptiste
1 D. Konstantopoulos

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Atkinson · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.