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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Kristiansund

S T T S U

1–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,5

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 29%

29%

Points per game

1,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 29%

14%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

0,7

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

7 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 7

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Kristiansund 13. · Lillestrom 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Stabaek	8	4	2	2	+4	14
3	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	Odd	7	4	0	3	-3	12
5	Brann	7	3	2	2	+5	11
6	Molde	7	3	2	2	+4	11
7	Haugesund	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Aalesund	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Sandefjord	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	-2	10
11	Stromsgodset	7	2	3	2	-2	9
12	Tromso	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Kristiansund	7	2	1	4	-6	7
14	Lillestrom	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Sogndal	7	1	2	4	-6	5
16	Viking	7	1	1	5	-5	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Stabaek	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Sarpsborg 08	4	3	0	1	+8	9
4	Odd	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Stromsgodset	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	Aalesund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Haugesund	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Tromso	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Sogndal	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Viking	4	1	0	3	-1	3
16	Lillestrom	4	1	0	3	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
3	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	+1	6
4	Molde	4	1	2	1	+0	5
5	Aalesund	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	Stabaek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Brann	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Tromso	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Lillestrom	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Valerenga	4	1	0	3	-5	3
12	Odd	4	1	0	3	-7	3
13	Viking	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Stromsgodset	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Kristiansund	4	0	1	3	-8	1
16	Sogndal	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.