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Premier League
Referee: Kevin Friend
Watford
S T S T T
2–2
Full-time
Sunderland
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Watford Sunderland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Premier League · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 28%
32%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
46%
51%
Both score Ø 49%
43%
54%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Watford 13. · Sunderland 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leicester 37 23 11 3 +32 80
2 Tottenham 37 19 13 5 +38 70
3 Arsenal 37 19 11 7 +25 68
4 Man City 37 19 8 10 +30 65
5 Man United 37 18 9 10 +12 63
6 West Ham 37 16 14 7 +15 62
7 Southampton 37 17 9 11 +15 60
8 Liverpool 37 16 11 10 +13 59
9 Chelsea 37 12 13 12 +6 49
10 Stoke 37 13 9 15 -15 48
11 Swansea 37 12 10 15 -10 46
12 Everton 37 10 14 13 +1 44
13 Watford 37 12 8 17 -10 44
14 Crystal Palace 37 11 9 17 -9 42
15 West Brom 37 10 12 15 -14 42
16 Bournemouth 37 11 9 17 -20 42
17 Sunderland 37 9 11 17 -14 38
18 Norwich 37 9 7 21 -25 34
19 Newcastle 37 8 10 19 -25 34
20 Aston Villa 37 3 8 26 -45 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Dec -15 Sunderland – Watford 0–1

Match report

Watford Sunderland
39′
J. Rodwell 0–1
J. Lens
Half-time 0–1
J. Paredes 🔁
↦ C. Cathcart
46′
1–1 S. Prödl
A. Guédioura
48′
51′
J. Lens 1–2
D. Watmore
52′
🔁 G. Honeyman
↦ R. Greenwood
2–2 T. Deeney
61′
62′
🔁 Y. M'Vila
↦ S. Larsson
Mario Suárez 🔁
↦ A. Abdi
66′
76′
🔁 B. Jones
↦ D. Yedlin
Adlène Guédioura 🟨
80′
N. Amrabat 🔁
↦ José Jurado
80′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Watford

1 Gomes G
5 S. Prödl D
3 M. Britos D
15 C. Cathcart D
16 N. Aké D
7 José Jurado M
22 A. Abdi M
23 B. Watson M
17 A. Guédioura M
24 O. Ighalo F
9 T. Deeney F
Bench (7)
14 J. Paredes
4 Mario Suárez
11 N. Amrabat
18 C. Pantilimon
21 I. Anya
20 S. Berghuis
2 A. Nyom

Sunderland

13 J. Pickford G
16 J. O'Shea D
23 L. Koné D
24 D. Yedlin D
17 J. Lens M
7 S. Larsson M
8 J. Rodwell M
41 D. Watmore M
34 T. Robson D
10 D. N'Doye F
37 R. Greenwood M
Bench (7)
39 G. Honeyman
21 Y. M'Vila
2 B. Jones
25 V. Mannone
18 J. Defoe
5 W. Brown
22 W. Khazri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kevin Friend · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.