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Eliteserien

Referee: Tom Harald Hagen

Sandefjord

T T T T T

0–1

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

10%

40%

Points per game

0,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 55%

50%

60%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

2,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-1,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 9

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sandefjord 15. · Sarpsborg 08 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	10	8	2	0	+14	26
2	Rosenborg	10	6	3	1	+11	21
3	Ranheim	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Haugesund	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Valerenga	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Molde	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Sarpsborg 08	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Odd	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Tromso	10	4	2	4	+2	14
10	Kristiansund	10	2	4	4	-3	10
11	Lillestrom	10	3	1	6	-6	10
12	Stromsgodset	10	2	3	5	-1	9
13	Bodo/Glimt	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Stabaek	10	1	4	5	-8	7
15	Sandefjord	10	1	2	7	-14	5
16	Start	10	1	1	8	-17	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Odd	6	4	1	1	+10	13
2	Brann	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Molde	6	4	0	2	+7	12
4	Rosenborg	5	3	2	0	+9	11
5	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+7	11
6	Tromso	5	3	1	1	+8	10
7	Ranheim	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Valerenga	5	2	2	1	-1	8
9	Haugesund	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Lillestrom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Stromsgodset	5	1	2	2	+1	5
13	Stabaek	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Start	5	1	0	4	-7	3
16	Sandefjord	5	0	2	3	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Haugesund	6	3	2	1	+3	11
3	Valerenga	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Rosenborg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Ranheim	5	3	1	1	+0	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Bodo/Glimt	5	1	2	2	-2	5
8	Molde	4	1	2	1	-3	5
9	Stromsgodset	5	1	1	3	-2	4
10	Tromso	5	1	1	3	-6	4
11	Kristiansund	5	0	3	2	-2	3
12	Odd	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Lillestrom	6	1	0	5	-7	3
14	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Stabaek	6	0	2	4	-8	2
16	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.