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Eliteserien
Referee: Espen Eskas
Sandefjord
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
58%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
50%
58%
Both score Ø 46%
33%
58%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 12. · Sarpsborg 08 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 12 7 4 1 +11 25
2 Sarpsborg 08 12 7 3 2 +11 24
3 Brann 12 6 4 2 +14 22
4 Odd 12 6 2 4 +0 20
5 Aalesund 13 5 4 4 +2 19
6 Stabaek 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Molde 12 5 2 5 +2 17
8 Valerenga 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Sogndal 12 4 3 5 -1 15
10 Haugesund 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Lillestrom 12 4 2 6 -2 14
12 Sandefjord 12 4 2 6 -6 14
13 Stromsgodset 12 3 4 5 -5 13
14 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -6 13
15 Kristiansund 13 3 4 6 -7 13
16 Viking 12 2 2 8 -11 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08
40′
🔁 T. Heintz
↦ A. Trondsen
1–0 A. Seck
43′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Kristoffer Zachariassen
E. Mjelde 🔁
↦ F. Kastrati
72′
Joackim Solberg 🟨
76′
79′
🔁 J. Larsen
↦ J. Jørgensen
84′
🔁 J. Tveita
↦ A. Albech
E. Kebbie 🔁
↦ V. Bindia
86′
W. Kurtovic 🔁
↦ Pau Morer
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sandefjord

5-4-1
1 I. Jónsson G
17 J. Solberg M
19 V. Bindia D
4 C. Reppesgård
3 A. Seck D
16 E. Kane D
15 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
22 A. Sødlund M
6 Pau Morer M
11 F. Kastrati F
Bench (7)
8 E. Mjelde
14 E. Kebbie
18 W. Kurtovic
12 Ø. Øvretveit
20 K. Jablinski
21 H. Lorentzen
25 S. Shamohammad

Coach: L. Bohinen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
21 A. Kristiansen
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
15 S. Rosted D
2 A. Albech D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
7 O. Halvorsen M
6 A. Trondsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
44 E. Fejzullahu F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
14 T. Heintz
45 J. Larsen
22 J. Tveita
1 S. Čupić
13 O. Hansen
18 T. Hovda
20 A. Østli

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Espen Eskas · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.