← Match Finder
Premier League
Referee: Keith Stroud
Crystal Palace
S T
2–1
Full-time
Aston Villa
S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Crystal Palace Aston Villa
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
1,0
Scored
2,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 7. · Aston Villa 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 3 2 1 0 +2 7
2 Man City 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Liverpool 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Everton 2 1 1 0 +3 4
6 Swansea 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 West Ham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Norwich 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Aston Villa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Arsenal 2 1 0 1 -1 3
12 Watford 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Newcastle 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Tottenham 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Stoke 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Chelsea 2 0 1 1 -3 1
17 Southampton 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 West Brom 2 0 1 1 -3 1
19 Bournemouth 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Sunderland 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Aston Villa
Joel Ward 🟨
18′
Half-time 0–0
D. Gayle 🔁
↦ W. Zaha
46′
J. Mutch 🔁
↦ G. Murray
46′
Yohan Cabaye 🟨
50′
55′
🟨 Rudy Gestede
69′
🔁 Adama Traoré
↦ C. Sánchez
1–0 S. Dann ⚽
J. Puncheon
71′
77′
⚽ P. Souaré 2–0
own goal
M. Jedinak 🔁
↦ Y. Cabaye
82′
84′
🟨 Ciaran Clark
86′
🟨 Leandro Bacuna
3–0 B. Sako ⚽
S. Dann
87′
Jason Puncheon 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

12 A. McCarthy G
27 D. Delaney D
6 S. Dann D
2 J. Ward D
23 P. Souaré D
7 Y. Cabaye M
26 B. Sako M
42 J. Puncheon M
18 J. McArthur M
17 G. Murray F
11 W. Zaha M
Bench (7)
16 D. Gayle
22 J. Mutch
15 M. Jedinak
8 P. Bamford
13 W. Hennessey
14 Chung-Yong Lee
34 M. Kelly

Aston Villa

1 B. Guzan G
4 M. Richards D
6 C. Clark D
23 J. Amavi D
24 C. Sánchez M
15 A. Westwood M
7 L. Bacuna D
8 I. Gueye M
40 J. Grealish M
11 G. Agbonlahor F
39 R. Gestede F
Bench (7)
20 Adama Traoré
2 N. Baker
9 S. Sinclair
17 J. Veretout
19 J. Ayew
21 A. Hutton
31 M. Bunn

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Keith Stroud · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.