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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Kristiansund
T S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
36%
43%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,6
3,1
Scored
1,4
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
16 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 9. · Sarpsborg 08 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 14 10 4 0 +16 34
2 Rosenborg 14 8 3 3 +13 27
3 Ranheim 14 8 2 4 +1 26
4 Haugesund 14 7 4 3 +6 25
5 Tromso 14 7 2 5 +6 23
6 Molde 14 7 2 5 +6 23
7 Valerenga 15 6 5 4 -2 23
8 Sarpsborg 08 14 6 4 4 +7 22
9 Kristiansund 14 5 4 5 +1 19
10 Odd 14 5 2 7 +2 17
11 Stromsgodset 14 4 4 6 +0 16
12 Bodo/Glimt 15 3 6 6 -2 15
13 Lillestrom 14 3 4 7 -7 13
14 Stabaek 14 2 5 7 -12 11
15 Start 14 3 2 9 -16 11
16 Sandefjord 14 1 3 10 -19 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Torgil Owre Gjertsen 🟨
19′
1–0 S. Aasmundsen
T. Gjertsen
21′
33′
🟨 Matti Lund Nielsen
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 R. Muhammed
↦ R. Schwartz
63′
🔁 T. Heintz
↦ H. Singh
S. Sørli 🔁
↦ T. Gjertsen
72′
Amidou Diop 🟨
74′
80′
P. Mortensen 1–1
J. Thomassen
B. Lepistu 🔁
↦ L. Kalludra
81′
B. Stokke 🔁
↦ B. Bye
86′
Brent Lepistu 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-3-3
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 C. Aasbak D
17 A. Coly D
9 L. Kalludra M
18 S. Aasmundsen M
22 B. Sørmo D
21 A. Diop M
13 B. Bye F
11 D. Bamba F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
24 S. Sørli
6 B. Lepistu
20 B. Stokke
2 J. Bjerkås
15 E. Sivertsen
23 C. Månsson
27 N. Baranov

Coach: C. Michelsen

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 A. Falch G
77 A. Askar D
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
6 J. Tamm D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
23 H. Singh M
7 O. Halvorsen M
17 K. Zachariassen M
29 R. Schwartz F
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
27 R. Muhammed
10 T. Heintz
19 K. Larsen
4 B. Utvik
18 M. Agger
21 A. Kristiansen
22 J. Tveita

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.