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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Lillestrom

S T U U T

4–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,3

0,3

Scored

1,3

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

41% Possession 59%

11 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 9

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 10

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 14. · Sarpsborg 08 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Molde	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Viking	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sogndal	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Haugesund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Brann	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Odd	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Stromsgodset	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Tromso	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Aalesund	3	1	0	2	-3	3
12	Start	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lillestrom	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Stabaek	3	0	0	3	-4	0
16	Valerenga	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sogndal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Molde	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Odd	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Haugesund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Aalesund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Lillestrom	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Viking	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tromso	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brann	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Start	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Stabaek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Valerenga	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viking	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Brann	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Molde	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Haugesund	3	1	0	2	-2	3
6	Tromso	2	0	2	0	+0	2
7	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Odd	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Lillestrom	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Sogndal	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Valerenga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Stabaek	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Aalesund	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.