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OBOS-ligaen
Kongsvinger
T T T S T
1–3
Full-time
Aalesund
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kongsvinger Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
0,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 29%
25%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
0,8
3,3
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kongsvinger 12. · Aalesund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Notodden 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 Sandnes ULF 4 3 1 0 +3 10
3 Aalesund 3 3 0 0 +9 9
4 Viking 4 3 0 1 +6 9
5 Ull/Kisa 4 2 2 0 +4 8
6 Strommen 4 2 0 2 +4 6
7 Mjondalen 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Sogndal 3 1 2 0 +3 5
9 Asane 4 1 1 2 -5 4
10 Floro 4 1 1 2 -6 4
11 Ham-Kam 4 0 3 1 -2 3
12 Kongsvinger 4 1 0 3 -4 3
13 Jerv 3 0 2 1 -2 2
14 Levanger 4 0 1 3 -5 1
15 Tromsdalen Uil 3 0 1 2 -6 1
16 Nest-Sotra 4 0 0 4 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kongsvinger Aalesund
20′
A. Þrándarson 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Ramsteijn
↦ Nenass
48′
🔁 A. Arnarson
↦ R. Sandnes
60′
H. Fridjonsson 0–2
S. Ibrahim 🔁
↦ Marlinho
62′
1–2 A. Güven
64′
71′
O. Lie 1–3
J. Kolstad 🔁
↦ A. Güven
76′
M. Lundal 🔁
↦ E. Skagestad
76′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kongsvinger

25 S. Thomas
3 E. Skagestad
2 F. Pålerud
5 C. Røer
14 M. Skjellum
23 F. Sjølstad
11 O. Øby
15 Marlinho
9 A. Güven
7 N. Castro
13 M. Aanesland
Bench (7)
26 S. Ibrahim
17 J. Kolstad
19 M. Lundal
12 M. Vinjor
18 I. Mafi
20 E. Bydal
27 T. Trautner

Coach: H. Eriksen

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
5 O. Lie
4 S. Nattestad
20 R. Sandnes
3 D. Grétarsson
16 J. Hatlehol
8 F. Carlsen
10 H. Fridjonsson
11 A. Þrándarson
7 Nenass
17 S. Fet
Bench (5)
6 K. Ramsteijn
22 A. Arnarson
13 T. Omenås
33 A. Waagan
36 E. Solnørdal

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.