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Conference League
Referee: Milos Milanovic
Omonia Nicosia
S S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Mainz
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Omonia Nicosia Mainz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,0
Scored
2,7
2,5
Conceded
0,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,24 xG 1,59
44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 8
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
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U1,5 ✓
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
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BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.