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Europa League
Referee: Igor Pajač
Celta
U U U T T
3–1
Full-time
PAOK
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
100%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,4
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,70 xG 0,75
63% Possession 37%
15 Shots 5
9 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celta PAOK
37′
G. Giakoumakis 0–1
G. Konstantelias
Óscar Mingueza 🟨
41′
Williot Swedberg 🟨
43′
1–1 I. Aspas
O. Mingueza
45′
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Giorgos Giakoumakis
2–1 B. Iglesias
W. Swedberg
53′
61′
🔁 S. Meite
↦ A. Bianco
61′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ G. Giakoumakis
F. Jutgla 🔁
↦ B. Iglesias
67′
C. Dominguez 🔁
↦ O. Mingueza
67′
70′
🔁 Taison
↦ M. Camara
70′
🔁 A. Zivkovic
↦ K. Despodov
3–1 W. Swedberg
J. Rueda
70′
Williot Swedberg ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
71′
B. Zaragoza 🔁
↦ I. Aspas
74′
P. Duran 🔁
↦ W. Swedberg
74′
74′
🔁 T. Kedziora
↦ A. Vogliacco
Ilaix Moriba 🟨
79′
J. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ J. Rueda
83′
92′
🟨 Magomed Ozdoev
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-3
13 I. Radu G
12 M. Fernandez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
17 J. Rueda M
14 D. Rodriguez M
6 I. Moriba M
3 O. Mingueza M
10 I. Aspas F
7 B. Iglesias F
19 W. Swedberg F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
8 F. Beltran
9 F. Jutgla
15 B. Zaragoza
16 M. Roman
18 P. Duran
22 H. Sotelo
23 H. Alvarez
24 C. Dominguez
29 Y. Lago
32 J. Rodriguez
39 J. El Abdellaoui

Coach: Claudio Giráldez González

PAOK

4-2-3-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
23 J. Sastre D
4 A. Vogliacco D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. R. Baba D
22 A. Bianco M
27 M. Ozdoev M
77 K. Despodov M
2 M. Camara M
65 G. Konstantelias M
7 G. Giakoumakis F
Bench (12)
41 D. Monastirlis
99 A. Tsiftsis
3 J. Kenny
6 D. Lovren
8 S. Meite
9 F. Chalov
11 Taison
14 A. Zivkovic
16 T. Kedziora
25 K. Thymianis
32 G. Taylor
52 D. Chatsidis

Coach: Răzvan Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.