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Europa League
Referee: Julian Weinberger
Ludogorets
U T T S S
0–2
Full-time
Betis
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,44 xG 0,75
53% Possession 47%
13 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 5
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -22 Ludogorets – Betis 0–1 15. Sep -22 Betis – Ludogorets 3–2

Match report

Ludogorets Betis
O. Verdon 🔁
↦ E. Kurtulus
8′
15′
🟨 Aitor Ruibal
31′
⚽ G. Lo Celso 0–1
Natan
Half-time 0–1
B. Tekpetey 🔁
↦ Erick Marcus
46′
48′
🟨 Junior Firpo
53′
⚽ Son 1–1
own goal
56′
🔁 R. Rodriguez
↦ J. Firpo
56′
🔁 A. Ortiz
↦ A. Ruibal
M. Machado 🔁
↦ E. Bile
66′
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ F. Kaloc
66′
67′
🔁 A. Ezzalzouli
↦ R. Riquelme
76′
🔁 P. Fornals
↦ G. Lo Celso
76′
🔁 S. Amrabat
↦ M. Roca
S. Ivanov 🔁
↦ A. Nedyalkov
78′
80′
🟨 Ricardo Rodríguez
Stanislav Ivanov 🟨
88′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ludogorets

1 S. Padt G
17 Son D
15 E. Kurtulus D
4 D. Almeida D
3 A. Nedyalkov D
30 Pedro Naressi M
26 F. Kaloc M
14 P. Stanic M
77 Erick Marcus F
29 E. Bile F
11 Caio Vidal F
Bench (9)
39 H. Bonmann
67 D. Hristov
10 M. Machado
18 I. Chochev
24 O. Verdon
37 B. Tekpetey
42 S. Shishkov
82 I. Yordanov
99 S. Ivanov

Betis

4-3-3
1 Alvaro Valles G
24 A. Ruibal D
4 Natan D
16 V. Gomez D
23 J. Firpo D
6 S. Altimira M
20 G. Lo Celso M
21 M. Roca M
9 C. Avila F
11 C. Bakambu F
17 R. Riquelme F
Bench (10)
13 Adrian
25 P. Lopez
2 H. Bellerin
7 Antony
8 P. Fornals
10 A. Ezzalzouli
12 R. Rodriguez
14 S. Amrabat
19 Cucho Hernandez
40 A. Ortiz

Coach: Manuel Luis Pellegrini Ripamonti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.