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Conference League
Referee: Florian Badstubner
Fiorentina
S U T T U
2–0
Full-time
Sigma Olomouc
T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Sigma Olomouc
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,77 xG 0,36
54% Possession 46%
14 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
7 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Fiorentina Sigma Olomouc
Nicolò Fagioli 🟨
25′
1–0 R. Piccoli ⚽
C. Ndour
27′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Langer
↦ D. Tkac
J. Fazzini 🔁
↦ R. Mandragora
59′
F. Parisi 🔁
↦ R. Gosens
59′
Cher Ndour 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 M. Tijani
↦ M. Mikulenka
63′
🔁 S. Michez
↦ A. Dolznikov
64′
🟨 Tihomir Kostadinov
A. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ E. Dzeko
72′
N. Fortini 🔁
↦ Dodo
72′
72′
🔁 R. Breite
↦ T. Kostadinov
77′
🔁 J. Sip
↦
David De Gea 🟨
83′
P. Comuzzo 🔁
↦ M. Pongracic
86′
2–0 C. Ndour ⚽
A. Gudmundsson
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

3-5-2
43 D. de Gea G
5 M. Pongracic D
18 P. Mari D
6 L. Ranieri D
2 Dodo M
8 R. Mandragora M
44 N. Fagioli M
27 C. Ndour M
21 R. Gosens M
9 E. Dzeko F
91 R. Piccoli F
Bench (12)
1 L. Lezzerini
30 T. Martinelli
10 A. Gudmundsson
11 A. Sabiri
14 H. Nicolussi Caviglia
15 P. Comuzzo
22 J. Fazzini
24 A. Richardson
26 M. Viti
29 N. Fortini
60 E. Kouadio
65 F. Parisi

Coach: Stefano Pioli

Sigma Olomouc

4-2-3-1
91 J. Koutny G
16 F. Slavicek D
2 A. Sylla D
21 J. Kral D
13 J. Slama D
47 M. Beran M
10 T. Kostadinov M
70 A. Ghali M
24 D. Tkac M
77 A. Dolznikov M
25 M. Mikulenka F
Bench (12)
98 M. Hruska
5 T. Huk
6 J. Sip
7 R. Breite
22 M. Hadas
23 A. Dumitrescu
26 M. Tijani
30 J. Navratil
33 M. Maly
37 S. Langer
39 D. Janosek
75 S. Michez

Coach: Tomáš Janotka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Florian Badstubner · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.