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Conference League
Referee: Ondrej Berka
Araz
S U
0–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Araz Omonia Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
2,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Araz Omonia Nicosia
13′
L. Loizou 0–1
Ewandro
22′
L. Loizou 0–2
N. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ C. Boli
25′
Half-time 0–2
Q. Qarayev 🔁
↦ I. Paro
46′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ B. Cohen
46′
55′
Ewandro 0–3
S. Jovetic
58′
S. Jovetic 0–4
Ewandro
Bakhtiyar Hasanalizade 🟨
63′
64′
🟨 Stevan Jovetić
Patrick Andrade 🟨
66′
69′
🟨 Mateo Marić
70′
🔁 M. Stepinski
↦ S. Jovetic
Hamidou Keyta 🟨
76′
O. Buludov 🔁
↦ U. Abbasov
76′
R. Mammadov 🔁
↦ B. Hasanalizada
76′
82′
🔁 A. Dionkou
↦ W. Semedo
82′
🔁 A. Neofytou
↦ L. Loizou
86′
🔁 C. Eiting
↦ Ewandro
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Araz

4-3-3
12 C. Avram G
34 U. Abbasov
3 B. Hasanalizada D
17 I. Paro D
77 Bruno Franco D
19 B. Cohen M
29 Wanderson M
6 P. Andrade M
70 C. Boli M
11 B. Simakala F
10 F. Santos M
Bench (9)
94 T. Ahmadli
2 Q. Qarayev
5 Alxasov
7 H. Keyta
14 U. Iskandarov
16 Ramon Machado
23 N. Rodrigues
26 O. Buludov
44 R. Mammadov

Coach: Elmar Baxşıyev

Omonia Nicosia

4-2-3-1
40 Fabiano Freitas G
21 G. Masouras D
5 S. Coulibaly D
30 N. Panagiotou D
3 F. Kitsos D
31 I. Kousoulos M
14 M. Maric M
75 L. Loizou M
11 Ewandro M
7 W. Semedo M
8 S. Jovetic F
Bench (12)
23 F. Uzoho
98 C. Kyriakidis
2 A. Dionkou
6 C. Eiting
9 M. Stepinski
24 A. Khammas
27 S. Simic
33 M. Musialowski
44 N. Erakovic
85 A. Neofytou
90 C. Konstantinidis
91 K. Panagi

Coach: Henning Stille Berg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.