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Europa League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Roma
S T S S S
0–1
Full-time
Lille
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Lille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,20 xG 1,49
50% Possession 50%
20 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Roma Lille
6′
⚽ H. Haraldsson 0–1
9′
🟨 Calvin Verdonk
Half-time 0–1
D. Rensch 🔁
↦ K. Tsimikas
46′
G. Mancini 🔁
↦ M. Hermoso
55′
S. El Shaarawy 🔁
↦ L. Pellegrini
55′
61′
🟨 Ayyoub Bouaddi
62′
🔁 M. Fernandez-Pardo
↦ H. Haraldsson
62′
🔁 B. Andre
↦ N. Bentaleb
62′
🔁 H. Igamane
↦ O. Giroud
M. Kone 🔁
↦ B. Cristante
69′
69′
🔁 R. Perraud
↦ C. Verdonk
A. Dovbyk 🔁
↦ E. Ferguson
78′
Zeki Çelik ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
81′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
89′
🔁 N. Mukau
↦ O. Sahraoui
93′
🟨 Berke Özer
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-1-2
99 M. Svilar G
19 Z. Celik D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 M. Hermoso D
43 Wesley Franca M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. El Aynaoui M
12 K. Tsimikas M
7 L. Pellegrini F
18 M. Soule F
11 E. Ferguson F
Bench (11)
73 A. Marcaccini
95 P. Gollini
2 D. Rensch
3 Angelino
9 A. Dovbyk
17 M. Kone
23 G. Mancini
24 J. Ziolkowski
61 N. Pisilli
87 D. Ghilardi
92 S. El Shaarawy

Coach: Gian Piero Gasperini

Lille

4-4-2
1 B. Ozer G
12 T. Meunier D
18 C. Mbemba D
23 A. Mandi D
24 C. Verdonk D
27 F. Correia M
6 N. Bentaleb M
32 A. Bouaddi M
11 O. Sahraoui M
10 H. Haraldsson F
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (12)
16 A. Bodart
50 S. Merzouk
3 N. Ngoy
7 M. Fernandez-Pardo
14 M. Broholm
15 R. Perraud
17 N. Mukau
21 B. Andre
22 T. Santos
28 U. Raghouber
29 H. Igamane
38 A. Goffi

Coach: Bruno Génésio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.