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Europa League
Referee: Nenad Minaković
Bologna
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time
Freiburg
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,79 xG 2,08
55% Possession 45%
8 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bologna Freiburg
1–0 R. Orsolini ⚽
N. Cambiaghi
29′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ V. Grifo
47′
🟨 Jordy Makengo
Łukasz Skorupski 🟨
55′
55′
ℹ️ Matthias Ginter
VAR: Penalty confirmed
57′
⚽ J. Adamu 1–1
65′
🟨 Philipp Lienhart
F. Bernardeschi 🔁
↦ R. Orsolini
66′
T. Dallinga 🔁
↦ S. Castro
66′
J. Miranda 🔁
↦ C. Lykogiannis
66′
Emil Holm 🟨
67′
75′
🔁 E. Dinkci
↦ J. Beste
J. Rowe 🔁
↦ N. Cambiaghi
77′
80′
🔁 L. Holer
↦ J. Manzambi
80′
🔁 C. Gunter
↦ J. Makengo
88′
🔁 I. Matanovic
↦ J. Adamu
G. Fabbian 🔁
↦ L. Ferguson
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
1 L. Skorupski G
2 E. Holm D
41 M. Vitik D
26 J. Lucumi D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
8 R. Freuler M
19 L. Ferguson M
7 R. Orsolini M
21 J. Odgaard M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
9 S. Castro F
Bench (12)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
4 T. Pobega
6 N. Moro
10 F. Bernardeschi
11 J. Rowe
14 T. Heggem
16 N. Casale
20 N. Zortea
24 T. Dallinga
33 J. Miranda
80 G. Fabbian

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
6 P. Osterhage M
19 J. Beste M
44 J. Manzambi M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
9 L. Holer
14 Y. Suzuki
18 E. Dinkci
27 N. Hofler
30 C. Gunter
31 I. Matanovic
37 M. Rosenfelder
43 B. Ogbus

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.