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Europa League
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Celtic
U U S U U
0–2
Full-time
Sp Braga
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
0%
86%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 22%
0%
43%
Both score Ø 65%
100%
29%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,0
2,1
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,65 xG 1,05
56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celtic Sp Braga
13′
🟨 Yanis da Rocha
20′
⚽ R. Horta 0–1
Gorby
Half-time 0–1
M. Saracchi 🔁
↦ C. Donovan
46′
46′
🔁 V. Gomez
↦ Y. da Rocha
Kelechi Iheanacho ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
54′
65′
🔁 J. Moutinho
↦ F. Grillitsch
A. Engels 🔁
↦ P. Bernardo
67′
R. Hatate 🔁
↦ B. Nygren
67′
71′
🔁 R. Zalazar
↦ R. Horta
71′
🔁 D. Rodrigues
↦ P. Victor
J. Forrest 🔁
↦ D. Maeda
77′
Marcelo Saracchi 🟨
81′
D. Murray 🔁
↦ K. Tierney
81′
82′
🔁 G. Martinez
↦ A. El Ouazzani
85′
⚽ G. Martinez 0–2
Liam Scales 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
51 C. Donovan D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
8 B. Nygren M
42 C. McGregor M
28 P. Bernardo M
38 D. Maeda F
17 K. Iheanacho F
23 S. Tounekti F
Bench (12)
12 V. Sinisalo
6 A. Trusty
10 M. Balikwisha
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
14 L. McCowan
24 J. Kenny
27 A. Engels
36 M. Saracchi
41 R. Hatate
47 D. Murray
49 J. Forrest
56 A. Ralston

Coach: Brendan Rodgers

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
1 L. Hornicek G
14 G. Lagerbielke D
6 Vitor Carvalho D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
41 Y. da Rocha M
29 Gorby M
27 F. Grillitsch M
5 L. Lelo M
21 R. Horta F
18 P. Victor F
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (12)
12 T. Sa
36 A. Bellaarouch
2 V. Gomez
4 S. Niakate
8 J. Moutinho
10 R. Zalazar
33 J. Marques
39 F. Navarro
50 D. Rodrigues
72 J. Aragao
77 G. Martinez
95 S. Vidigal

Coach: Juan Carlos Vicens Gómez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.