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Europa League
Referee: Anastasios Sidiropoulos
Genk
S U T S S
0–1
Full-time
Ferencvarosi TC
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Ferencvarosi TC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,19 xG 1,18
63% Possession 37%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -23 Ferencvarosi TC – Genk 1–1 26. Oct -23 Genk – Ferencvarosi TC 0–0

Match report

Genk Ferencvarosi TC
44′
⚽ B. Varga 0–1
J. Levi
Half-time 0–1
53′
🔁 B. Nagy
↦ C. O'Dowda
Y. Medina 🔁
↦ J. Ito
65′
K. Karetsas 🔁
↦ P. Hrosovsky
65′
67′
🟨 Ibrahim Cissé
74′
🟨 Stefan Gartenmann
K. Nkuba 🔁
↦ Z. El Ouahdi
78′
J. Erabi 🔁
↦ J. Steuckers
78′
79′
🔁 Dele
↦ L. Joseph
79′
🔁 G. Kanichowsky
↦ J. Levi
82′
🟨 Barnabás Varga
85′
🔁 K. Zachariassen
↦ B. Varga
85′
🔁 B. Otvos
↦ N. Keita
Y. Sor 🔁
↦ J. Kayembe
86′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
3 M. Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
18 J. Kayembe D
21 I. Bangoura M
8 B. Heynen M
7 J. Steuckers M
17 P. Hrosovsky M
10 J. Ito M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (12)
28 L. Mounganga
14 Y. Sor
19 Y. Medina
20 K. Karetsas
23 A. Bibout
24 N. Sattlberger
27 K. Nkuba
29 R. Mirisola
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg
34 A. Palacios
44 J. Kongolo
99 J. Erabi

Coach: Thorsten Fink

Ferencvarosi TC

3-5-2
90 D. Dibusz G
3 S. Gartenmann D
28 T. Raemaekers D
27 I. Cisse D
20 Cadu M
10 J. Levi M
5 N. Keita M
64 A. Toth M
47 C. O'Dowda M
19 B. Varga F
75 L. Joseph F
Bench (12)
63 D. Radnoti
99 D. Grof
8 A. Pesic
11 Dele
16 K. Zachariassen
22 G. Szalai
23 B. Otvos
30 Z. Gruber
36 G. Kanichowsky
62 B. J. Golik
72 A. Madarasz
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robert David Keane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.