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Conference League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Celje
T S T U T
3–2
Full-time
The New Saints
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje The New Saints
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,3
1,7
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 43%
71%
14%
Average goals
3,9
1,9
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

4,40 xG 0,51
67% Possession 33%
24 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Celje The New Saints
19′
⚽ D. Davies 0–1
R. Brobbel
1–1 Edmilson ⚽
20′
29′
🟨 Joshua Daniels
Klemen Nemanič 🟨
39′
42′
⚽ R. Holden 1–2
R. Brobbel
2–2 Edmilson ⚽
S. Sešlar
43′
Half-time 2–2
I. Brnić 🔁
↦ M. Dulca
46′
D. Vukliševič 🔁
↦ K. Nemanič
46′
M. Kvesić 🔁
↦ C. Lhernault
46′
A. Matko 🔁
↦ Edmilson
59′
61′
🔁 J. Marshall
↦ B. Clark
61′
🔁 A. Cieślewicz
↦ R. Brobbel
67′
🔁 J. Williams
↦ D. Redmond
67′
🔁 A. Wilson
↦ D. McManus
71′
🟨 Connor Roberts
N. Kouter 🔁
↦ T. Svetlin
74′
Nino Kouter 🟨
76′
3–2 D. Zec ⚽
S. Sešlar
79′
86′
🔁 S. Bradley
↦ R. Holden
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Celje

4-1-4-1
22 M. Rožman G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
6 D. Zec D
81 K. Nemanič D
23 Ž. Karničnik D
4 M. Dulca M
11 S. Sešlar M
5 C. Lhernault M
88 T. Svetlin M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
30 Edmilson F
Bench (6)
77 I. Brnić
3 D. Vukliševič
16 M. Kvesić
7 A. Matko
10 N. Kouter
12 L. Kolar

Coach: Albert Riera

The New Saints

5-3-2
25 C. Roberts G
7 J. Daniels D
21 L. Smith D
22 D. Davies D
2 J. Pask D
10 D. Redmond D
18 R. Holden M
14 D. Williams M
8 R. Brobbel M
9 D. McManus F
19 B. Clark F
Bench (11)
3 J. Marshall
11 A. Cieślewicz
17 J. Williams
28 A. Wilson
20 S. Bradley
33 N. Doforo
30 J. Edwards
6 J. Bodenham
4 M. Olosunde
31 B. Woollam
27 J. Canavan

Coach: C. Harrison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.