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LaLiga2
Referee: Eder Mallo
Elche
S U S S U
3–0
Full-time
Santander
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Santander
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
42%
58%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 40%
37%
42%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%
18 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 5
5 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Elche 7. · Santander 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Almeria 20 11 5 4 +11 38
2 Santander 19 11 4 4 +8 37
3 Mirandes 20 10 5 5 +6 35
4 Oviedo 20 10 5 5 +5 35
5 Granada 20 9 5 6 +8 32
6 Levante 19 8 7 4 +7 31
7 Elche 19 8 6 5 +8 30
8 Sp Gijon 20 8 6 6 +6 30
9 Huesca 19 8 5 6 +8 29
10 Castellon 19 8 5 6 +7 29
11 Malaga 20 5 12 3 +0 27
12 Eibar 20 8 3 9 -2 27
13 Zaragoza 20 7 5 8 +4 26
14 Albacete 20 6 7 7 -3 25
15 Cordoba 20 6 6 8 -6 24
16 Burgos 19 6 4 9 -8 22
17 La Coruna 18 5 6 7 +2 21
18 Cadiz 19 5 6 8 -6 21
19 Eldense 20 5 5 10 -8 20
20 Ferrol 20 3 9 8 -13 18
21 Cartagena 20 4 1 15 -21 13
22 Tenerife 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Santander
1–0 A. Álvarez
N. Fernández
25′
Agustín Álvarez 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
70′
🔁 Marco Sangalli
↦ C. Michelin
70′
🔁 Jon Karrikaburu
↦ Pablo Rodríguez
70′
🔁 Javi Castro
↦ Manu Hernando
M. El Ghezouani 🔁
↦ A. Álvarez
71′
2–0 M. El Ghezouani
Josan
73′
77′
🟨 Juan Carlos Arana
Óscar Plano 🔁
↦ Yago Santiago
80′
Bambo Diaby 🔁
↦ Josan
80′
Gerard Hernández 🔁
↦ N. Fernández
80′
80′
🔁 S. Camara
↦ Andrés Martín
81′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ Aritz Aldasoro
87′
ℹ️ Francisco Montero
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
🟥 Francisco Montero
John Donald 🔁
↦ Aleix Febas
91′
3–0 N. Castro
Álvaro Núñez
96′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Elche

4-4-2
13 M. Dituro G
15 Álvaro Núñez D
22 D. Affengruber D
6 Pedro Bigas D
12 José Salinas D
17 Josan M
14 Aleix Febas M
21 N. Castro M
24 Yago Santiago M
10 N. Fernández F
9 A. Álvarez F
Bench (12)
19 M. El Ghezouani
7 Óscar Plano
4 Bambo Diaby
31 Gerard Hernández
5 John Donald
30 Rodrigo Mendoza
1 Miguel San Román
11 E. Rashani
8 Raúl Guti
2 Mario Gaspar
23 Carlos Clerc
18 S. Kaba

Coach: Eder Sarabia

Santander

4-2-3-1
13 Jokin Ezkieta G
17 C. Michelin D
18 Manu Hernando D
24 Javi Montero D
40 Mario García D
21 Unai Vencedor M
8 Aritz Aldasoro M
11 Andrés Martín M
22 Pablo Rodríguez M
10 Iñigo Vicente M
9 Juan Carlos Arana F
Bench (12)
15 Marco Sangalli
19 Jon Karrikaburu
5 Javi Castro
20 S. Camara
12 M. Gueye
34 Diego Díaz
2 Álvaro Mantilla
1 Miquel Parera
7 L. Junior
3 Saúl García
32 Jorge Salinas
44 Solórzano

Coach: José Alberto López

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,49
B
4,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.