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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
Apoel Nicosia
U T S S S
1–1
Full-time
FC Astana
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apoel Nicosia FC Astana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/11 matches
Win Ø 53%
60%
45%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
40%
36%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
45%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,96 xG 1,10
38% Possession 62%
16 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1

Match report

Apoel Nicosia FC Astana
5′
🟨 Max Ebong
Georgi Kostadinov 🟨
31′
Radosav Petrović 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
David Abagna 🟨
49′
1–0 A. Donis ⚽
Y. El-Arabi
56′
G. Satsias 🔁
↦ G. Kostadinov
61′
64′
⚽ K. Kažukolovas 1–1
M. Tomasov
65′
🟨 Max Ebong
65′
🟥 Max Ebong
68′
🔁 B. Osei
↦ N. Gripshi
Giannis Satsias 🟨
70′
Giannis Satsias 🟨
70′
Giannis Satsias 🟥
70′
70′
🟨 Barnes Osei
L. Dvali 🔁
↦ R. Petrović
78′
84′
🟨 Josip Čondrić
M. Corbu 🔁
↦ D. Ndongala
86′
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ A. Donis
86′
88′
🔁 E. Astanov
↦ C. Geoffrey
88′
🔁 R. Karimov
↦ O. Camara
89′
🟨 Elkhan Astanov
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Apoel Nicosia

4-4-2
27 V. Belec G
29 I. Chebake D
3 R. Petrović D
34 K. Laifis D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
77 D. Ndongala M
70 G. Kostadinov M
8 Sergio Tejera M
11 A. Donis M
17 D. Abagna F
9 Y. El-Arabi F
Bench (9)
18 G. Satsias
5 L. Dvali
30 M. Corbu
7 M. Meyer
35 P. Polycarpou
78 S. Michos
23 P. Kattirtzis
22 A. Christodoulou
12 A. Bah

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

FC Astana

4-2-3-1
93 J. Čondrić G
2 K. Bartolec D
5 K. Kažukolovas D
3 B. Kalaica D
6 Y. Vorogovskiy D
7 M. Ebong M
45 A. Amanović M
10 M. Tomasov M
77 N. Gripshi M
28 O. Camara M
9 C. Geoffrey F
Bench (11)
19 B. Osei
21 E. Astanov
81 R. Karimov
55 A. Zarutskiy
74 M. Seysen
22 A. Marochkin
72 S. Basmanov
4 M. Bystrov
97 N. Zhaksylyk
11 N. Ahanonu
15 A. Beysebekov

Coach: G. Babayan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.