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Conference League
Referee: R Hennessy
Panathinaikos
S U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Dinamo Minsk
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Dinamo Minsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 32%
43%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
43%
60%
Both score Ø 49%
57%
40%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,86 xG 0,45
67% Possession 33%
17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Panathinaikos Dinamo Minsk
Philipp Max 🟨
3′
Sverrir Ingi Ingason 🟨
25′
32′
🟨 Daniil Kulikov
1–0 A. Jeremejeff ⚽
G. Kotsiras
33′
Willian Arão 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Tetê ⚽
A. Ounahi
54′
61′
🔁 B. Amian
↦ D. Kulikov
62′
🟨 Nikita Demchenko
F. Mladenović 🔁
↦ P. Max
63′
3–0 Tetê ⚽
F. Đuričić
65′
68′
🔁 I. Shkolik
↦ N. Demchenko
68′
🔁 J. Okoro
↦ G. Zherdev
68′
🔁 P. Sedko
↦ V. Kalinin
D. Mancini 🔁
↦ F. Đuričić
72′
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ A. Jeremejeff
72′
T. Bakasetas 🔁
↦ Willian Arão
72′
73′
🟨 Pavel Sedko
Tetê ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
82′
Tetê ❌
penalty missed
84′
84′
🔁 V. Khvashchinskiy
↦ T. Melnichenko
4–0 F. Ioannidis ⚽
84′
A. Bregou 🔁
↦ A. Ounahi
89′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
1 Y. Lodygin G
27 G. Kotsiras D
21 T. Jedvaj D
15 S. Ingason D
3 P. Max D
20 N. Maksimović M
55 Willian Arão M
8 A. Ounahi M
10 Tetê F
29 A. Jeremejeff F
31 F. Đuričić F
Bench (10)
25 F. Mladenović
17 D. Mancini
7 F. Ioannidis
11 T. Bakasetas
30 A. Bregou
80 A. Ntampizas
69 B. Drągowski
81 K. Lilo
2 G. Vagiannidis
26 E. Fikaj

Coach: Rui Vitória

Dinamo Minsk

4-4-2
21 F. Lapoukhov G
2 V. Pigas D
67 R. Begunov D
4 A. Gavrilovich D
66 Raí Lopes D
19 D. Podstrelov M
24 D. Kulikov M
26 V. Kalinin M
11 G. Zherdev M
81 T. Melnichenko F
88 N. Demchenko F
Bench (7)
29 B. Amian
80 I. Shkolik
3 J. Okoro
74 P. Sedko
10 V. Khvashchinskiy
13 I. Shimakovich
49 A. Karatay

Coach: V. Skripchenko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.