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Conference League
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Legia
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Dinamo Minsk
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Legia Dinamo Minsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/2 matches
Win Ø 44%
88%
0%
Points per game
2,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,0
Scored
2,8
0,5
Conceded
0,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,46 xG 0,46
55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Legia Dinamo Minsk
1–0 Luquinhas ⚽
P. Wszołek
10′
13′
🟨 Aleksei Gavrilovich
26′
🟨 Steven Alfred
Half-time 1–0
Rúben Vinagre ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
2–0 Marc Gual ⚽
51′
54′
🟨 Dmitri Podstrelov
3–0 Luquinhas ⚽
Marc Gual
55′
4–0 Marc Gual ⚽
R. Morishita
59′
A. Jędrzejczyk 🔁
↦ R. Pankov
60′
J. Nsamé 🔁
↦ Marc Gual
60′
64′
🔁 R. Adeola
↦ P. Sedko
64′
🔁 G. Zherdev
↦ A. Gavrilovich
P. Kun 🔁
↦ Rúben Vinagre
73′
M. Alfarela 🔁
↦ Luquinhas
73′
J. Çelhaka 🔁
↦ B. Kapustka
77′
80′
🟨 Vadim Pigas
82′
🔁 J. Okoro
↦ A. Selyava
Rafał Augustyniak 🟨
92′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Legia

4-3-3
27 G. Kobylak G
13 P. Wszołek D
12 R. Pankov D
3 S. Kapuadi D
19 Rúben Vinagre D
67 B. Kapustka M
8 R. Augustyniak M
25 R. Morishita M
11 K. Chodyna F
28 Marc Gual F
82 Luquinhas F
Bench (12)
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
77 J. Nsamé
23 P. Kun
17 M. Alfarela
21 J. Çelhaka
31 M. Mendes-Dudziński
99 J. Majchrzak
24 J. Ziółkowski
71 M. Szczepaniak
80 J. Adkonis
7 T. Pekhart
42 Sergio Barcia

Coach: Gonçalo Feio

Dinamo Minsk

4-2-3-1
21 F. Lapoukhov G
2 V. Pigas D
33 D. Polyakov D
4 A. Gavrilovich D
66 Raí Lopes D
26 V. Kalinin M
8 A. Selyava M
74 P. Sedko M
88 N. Demchenko M
19 D. Podstrelov M
9 S. Alfred F
Bench (8)
14 R. Adeola
11 G. Zherdev
3 J. Okoro
49 A. Karatay
13 I. Shimakovich
67 R. Begunov
25 Pedro Igor
10 V. Khvashchinskiy

Coach: V. Skripchenko

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.