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Ligue 1

Referee: Brisard Jerome

Toulouse

T T U S S

0–0

Full-time

St Etienne

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,2

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 45%

40%

50%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

40%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 4

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

2 Offside 7

17 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 11. · St Etienne 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	2	0	+26	29
2	Monaco	11	8	1	2	+16	25
3	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+12	22
4	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+1	20
5	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Caen	11	6	0	5	+0	18
7	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Bordeaux	11	4	4	3	-1	16
9	Montpellier	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Toulouse	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Angers	11	2	7	2	+2	13
13	Rennes	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Dijon	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Troyes	11	3	3	5	-6	12
16	Nice	11	3	1	7	-6	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-6	10
18	Strasbourg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
19	Lille	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Metz	11	1	0	10	-16	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Lyon	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+11	13
4	Caen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
5	St Etienne	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	+2	9
10	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Dijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	+1	5
16	Lille	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Angers	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	6	4	0	2	+5	12
2	Paris SG	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Angers	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	Nantes	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Caen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-4	6
13	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Guingamp	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Metz	6	1	0	5	-7	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Lille	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.