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Ligue 1

Referee: Benoit Millot

Lyon

T U U S S

2–0

Full-time

Metz

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

2,7

0,7

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 30%

50%

10%

Points per game

1,9

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

80%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

4,0

2,4

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 4. · Metz 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	9	2	0	+26	29
2	Monaco	11	8	1	2	+16	25
3	Nantes	11	6	2	3	+1	20
4	Lyon	10	5	4	1	+10	19
5	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+3	18
6	Caen	11	6	0	5	+0	18
7	St Etienne	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Bordeaux	11	4	4	3	-1	16
9	Montpellier	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Toulouse	10	4	2	4	-4	14
12	Angers	11	2	7	2	+2	13
13	Rennes	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Dijon	11	3	3	5	-6	12
15	Troyes	11	3	3	5	-6	12
16	Nice	11	3	1	7	-6	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-6	10
18	Strasbourg	11	2	4	5	-7	10
19	Lille	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Metz	10	1	0	9	-14	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Caen	6	4	0	2	+1	12
4	Lyon	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	St Etienne	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Guingamp	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Bordeaux	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Nantes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
9	Toulouse	4	3	0	1	+2	9
10	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Montpellier	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Dijon	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Amiens	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	+1	5
16	Lille	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Troyes	6	1	2	3	-6	5
18	Rennes	5	1	1	3	-2	4
19	Angers	5	0	3	2	-2	3
20	Metz	5	0	0	5	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	6	4	0	2	+5	12
2	Paris SG	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Angers	6	2	4	0	+4	10
4	Marseille	5	3	1	1	+0	10
5	Nantes	6	3	1	2	-1	10
6	Lyon	5	2	2	1	+4	8
7	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Montpellier	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Caen	5	2	0	3	-1	6
11	St Etienne	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Bordeaux	6	1	3	2	-4	6
13	Dijon	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Toulouse	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Strasbourg	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Amiens	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Guingamp	5	1	0	4	-4	3
18	Metz	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Nice	5	1	0	4	-8	3
20	Lille	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.