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Primeira Liga
Referee: Bruno Alexandre Da Silva Esteves
Sp Braga
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Chaves
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Chaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,7
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
67%
22%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Braga 5. · Chaves 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 10 9 1 0 +24 28
2 Sp Lisbon 10 8 2 0 +17 26
3 Benfica 10 7 2 1 +13 23
4 Maritimo 10 6 1 3 +3 19
5 Sp Braga 9 6 0 3 +7 18
6 Belenenses 10 5 1 4 +0 16
7 Rio Ave 10 4 2 4 +1 14
8 Boavista 10 4 1 5 -1 13
9 Feirense 10 3 2 5 -3 11
10 Guimaraes 9 3 2 4 -7 11
11 Vitoria Setubal 9 2 4 3 +1 10
12 Tondela 10 2 3 5 -2 9
13 Pacos Ferreira 9 2 3 4 -7 9
14 Portimonense 9 2 2 5 -6 8
15 Chaves 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Aves 9 1 3 5 -7 6
17 Moreirense 10 1 3 6 -12 6
18 Estoril 9 2 0 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sp Braga Chaves
Ricardo Esgaio 🟨
26′
Jefferson 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Bruno Vianna
Jefferson
58′
Paulinho 🔁
↦ Koka
67′
67′
🔁 Perdigão
↦ R. Bressan
67′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ Matheus Pereira
Paulinho 🟨
69′
João Carlos 🔁
↦ Fábio Martins
74′
74′
🔁 Hamdou Elhouni
↦ Platiny
Fransérgio 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
87′
90′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-5-1
1 Matheus G
4 Jefferson D
34 Raúl Silva D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
87 Marcelo Goiano D
36 Bruno Vianna D
35 N.S. Vukčević M
21 Ricardo Horta M
11 Danilo Barbosa M
26 Fábio Martins M
9 Koka F
Bench (7)
20 Paulinho
23 João Carlos
27 Fransérgio
10 Bruno Xadas
24 Ricardo Ferreira
25 André Moreira
99 Dyego Sousa

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Chaves

4-1-4-1
1 António Filipe G
2 Paulinho D
26 Djavan Ferreira D
19 N. Maraš D
15 Domingos Duarte D
12 R. Bressan M
5 Filipe Melo M
8 João Patrão M
99 Platiny F
91 Davidson F
73 Matheus Pereira F
Bench (7)
10 Perdigão
21 Jorginho
7 Hamdou Elhouni
4 Anderson Conceição
6 Jefferson
23 Emanuel Novo
41 Rúben Ferreira

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bruno Alexandre Da Silva Esteves · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.