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Conference League
Referee: J Kooij
Fiorentina
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Genk
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,48 xG 0,58
52% Possession 48%
24 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Genk – Fiorentina 2–2

Match report

Fiorentina Genk
-5′
🟨 Patrik Hrošovský
20′
🟨 Alieu Fadera
Lucas Martínez Quarta 🟨
28′
42′
🔁 C. Bonsu Baah
↦ A. Fadera
45′
⚽ J. Kayembe 0–1
C. Bonsu Baah
Half-time 0–1
M. Kayode 🔁
↦ F. Parisi
46′
N. Milenković 🔁
↦ L. Martínez Quarta
46′
1–1 L. Martínez Quarta ⚽
49′
58′
🔁 A. Zeqiri
↦ T. Arokodare
Arthur 🔁
↦ A. Duncan
59′
L. Beltrán 🔁
↦ A. Barák
59′
78′
🔁 B. El Khannouss
↦ P. Hrošovský
81′
🟨 Daniel Muñoz
J. Brekalo 🔁
↦ J. Ikoné
82′
2–1 N. González ⚽
82′
89′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
Nikola Milenković 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Andi Zeqiri
93′
ℹ️ Matias Galarza
VAR: Card upgrade
94′
🟨 Matias Galarza
96′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
Christian Kouamé 🟨
97′
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
53 O. Christensen G
65 F. Parisi D
26 Y. Mina D
28 L. Martínez Quarta D
3 C. Biraghi D
72 A. Barák M
8 M. Lopez M
32 A. Duncan M
11 J. Ikoné F
99 C. Kouamé F
10 N. González F
Bench (12)
33 M. Kayode
4 N. Milenković
6 Arthur
9 L. Beltrán
77 J. Brekalo
19 G. Infantino
1 P. Terracciano
16 L. Ranieri
73 L. Amatucci
7 R. Sottil
18 M'Bala Nzola
70 N. Pierozzi

Coach: V. Italiano

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
23 D. Muñoz D
46 C. Cuesta D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
18 J. Kayembe D
17 P. Hrošovský M
25 M. Galarza M
28 J. Paintsil M
8 B. Heynen M
7 A. Fadera M
99 T. Arokodare F
Bench (12)
90 C. Bonsu Baah
9 A. Zeqiri
34 B. El Khannouss
24 L. Oyen
14 Y. Sor
4 A. Ouattara
2 M. McKenzie
15 Z. El Ouahdi
30 V. Chambaere
26 M. Vandevoordt
19 A. Ait El Hadj
5 G. Arteaga

Coach: W. Vrancken

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.