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Conference League
Referee: J Beaton
FC Astana
U T T S U
0–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 46%
67%
25%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 1,64
36% Possession 64%
10 Shots 22
1 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Dinamo Zagreb – FC Astana 5–1 2. Aug -23 FC Astana – Dinamo Zagreb 0–2 25. Jul -23 Dinamo Zagreb – FC Astana 4–0

Match report

FC Astana Dinamo Zagreb
S. Lončar 🔁
↦ F. Ourega
31′
Islambek Kuat 🟨
38′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 P. Sučić
↦ M. Bulat
48′
⚽ G. Vidović 0–1
Dušan Jovančić 🟨
59′
A. Aymbetov 🔁
↦ D. Darboe
63′
M. Tomasov 🔁
↦ E. Astanov
63′
72′
🟨 Dino Perić
Dušan Jovančić 🟨
73′
Dušan Jovančić 🟥
73′
Varazdat Haroyan 🟨
74′
75′
🔁 B. Šutalo
↦ D. Perić
T. Dosmagambetov 🔁
↦ Y. Vorogovskiy
78′
A. Beisebekov 🔁
↦ I. Kuat
78′
78′
🔁 M. Perković
↦ S. Ristovski
78′
🔁 T. Halilović
↦ M. Baturina
79′
⚽ T. Kaneko 0–2
86′
🔁 G. Rukavina
↦ G. Vidović
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

FC Astana

5-3-2
93 J. Čondrić G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
3 V. Haroyan D
22 A. Marochkin D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
6 Y. Vorogovskiy D
29 D. Jovančić M
8 I. Kuat M
23 F. Ourega M
88 D. Darboe F
21 E. Astanov F
Bench (10)
44 S. Lončar
17 A. Aymbetov
10 M. Tomasov
27 T. Dosmagambetov
15 A. Beisebekov
55 A. Zarutskiy
20 V. Prokopenko
97 N. Zhaksylyk
72 S. Basmanov
31 D. Podymskiy

Coach: G. Babayan

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
1 D. Zagorac G
2 S. Moharrami D
13 S. Ristovski D
55 D. Perić D
14 R. Ljubičić D
31 M. Bulat M
27 J. Mišić M
30 T. Kaneko M
10 M. Baturina M
72 G. Vidović M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (12)
25 P. Sučić
4 B. Šutalo
39 M. Perković
23 T. Halilović
41 G. Rukavina
70 L. Menalo
20 A. Marin
17 S. Kulenović
11 M. Emreli
33 I. Nevistić
77 D. Špikić
6 M. Bernauer

Coach: S. Jakirović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.