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Conference League
Referee: S Frappart
Genk
T U U S T
2–2
Full-time
Fiorentina
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,5
Scored
0,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,69 xG 1,47
50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Genk Fiorentina
7′
L. Ranieri 0–1
C. Biraghi
1–1 A. Zeqiri
12′
23′
L. Ranieri 1–2
N. Milenković
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
29′
33′
🟨 Rolando Mandragora
Half-time 1–2
C. Bonsu Baah 🔁
↦ A. Fadera
46′
46′
🔁 C. Kouamé
↦ N. González
50′
🟨 Cristiano Biraghi
63′
🔁 F. Parisi
↦ C. Biraghi
63′
🔁 M. Lopez
↦ R. Mandragora
T. Arokodare 🔁
↦ A. Zeqiri
72′
72′
🔁 J. Brekalo
↦ R. Sottil
72′
🔁 M'Bala Nzola
↦ L. Beltrán
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ L. Oyen
77′
2–2 M. McKenzie
B. El Khannouss
85′
P. Hrošovský 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Genk

4-5-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
2 M. McKenzie D
5 G. Arteaga D
7 A. Fadera M
8 B. Heynen M
25 M. Galarza M
34 B. El Khannouss M
24 L. Oyen M
9 A. Zeqiri F
Bench (12)
90 C. Bonsu Baah
99 T. Arokodare
19 A. Ait El Hadj
17 P. Hrošovský
72 J. Kongolo
14 Y. Sor
15 Z. El Ouahdi
46 C. Cuesta
1 H. Van Crombrugge
4 A. Ouattara
30 V. Chambaere
18 J. Kayembe

Coach: W. Vrancken

Fiorentina

4-3-3
53 O. Christensen G
33 M. Kayode D
4 N. Milenković D
16 L. Ranieri D
3 C. Biraghi D
6 Arthur M
38 R. Mandragora M
32 A. Duncan M
10 N. González F
9 L. Beltrán F
7 R. Sottil F
Bench (12)
99 C. Kouamé
65 F. Parisi
8 M. Lopez
77 J. Brekalo
18 M'Bala Nzola
72 A. Barák
37 P. Comuzzo
73 L. Amatucci
28 L. Martínez Quarta
1 P. Terracciano
19 G. Infantino
2 Dodô

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Frappart · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.