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Conference League
Referee: J Pignard
Nordsjaelland
S S U T U
6–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 77%
63%
90%
Points per game
2,1
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
38%
80%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
2,4
2,9
Conceded
0,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,32 xG 0,83
41% Possession 59%
22 Shots 11
12 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nordsjaelland Fenerbahce
Mohammed Diomande 🟨
17′
1–0 L. Hey
J. Tverskov
21′
2–0 D. Svensson
M. Diomandé
25′
43′
M. Batshuayi 2–1
S. Szymański
45′
ℹ️ Ryan Kent
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 2–1
B. Nygren 🔁
↦ M. Diomandé
46′
3–1 B. Nygren
A. Nagalo
55′
62′
🔁 İ. Kahveci
↦ C. Ünder
62′
🔁 E. Džeko
↦ M. Batshuayi
4–1 C. Rasmussen
66′
74′
🔁 J. King
↦ R. Kent
5–1 B. Nygren
A. Nagalo
75′
C. Harder 🔁
↦ C. Rasmussen
79′
I. Osman 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
79′
J. Jensen-Abbew 🔁
↦ O. Villadsen
82′
6–1 B. Nygren
C. Harder
84′
Z. Sertdemir 🔁
↦ J. Tverskov
86′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
25 C. Eriksson G
19 L. Hey D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
10 M. Diomandé M
6 J. Tverskov M
27 D. Svensson M
23 O. Villadsen F
17 C. Rasmussen F
8 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (12)
9 B. Nygren
40 C. Harder
14 I. Osman
30 J. Jensen-Abbew
21 Z. Sertdemir
31 A. Gülstorff
15 E. Marxen
42 K. Barslund
7 M. Ingvartsen
12 R. Ascone
24 L. Høgsberg
43 S. Egeli

Coach: J. Thorup

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
21 B. Osayi-Samuel D
5 İ. Yüksek D
95 Y. Akçiçek D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
27 Miguel Crespo M
53 S. Szymański M
20 C. Ünder M
10 D. Tadić M
11 R. Kent M
23 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (10)
17 İ. Kahveci
9 E. Džeko
15 J. King
29 A. Aydın
94 Ç. Fedai
97 F. Akyüz
92 E. Karayazı
22 U. Nayir
70 İ. Eğribayat
49 M. İmre

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.