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Conference League
Referee: D Bel
Bodo/Glimt
S S S S T
5–2
Full-time
Lugano
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 48%
70%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,27 xG 1,38
48% Possession 52%
11 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -23 Lugano – Bodo/Glimt 0–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Bel · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.