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Europa League
Referee: F Glova
Sturm Graz
T T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Rakow
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 13%
25%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,36 xG 1,63
40% Possession 60%
13 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 5
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Rakow – Sturm Graz 0–1

Match report

Sturm Graz Rakow
Half-time 0–0
W. Bøving 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
61′
O. Kiteishvili 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
72′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ A. Borković
72′
75′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ A. Kovačević
75′
🔁 F. Piasecki
↦ A. Crnac
75′
🔁 S. Kittel
↦ B. Nowak
75′
🔁 J. Yeboah
↦ M. Cebula
81′
⚽ J. Yeboah 0–1
Jean Carlos
Manprit Sarkaria 🟨
82′
82′
🟨 Fran Tudor
L. Grgić 🔁
↦ A. Prass
87′
M. Johnston 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
88′
David Affengruber 🟨
89′
91′
🔁 S. Plavšić
↦ D. Sorescu
92′
🟨 Srđan Plavšić
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
6 A. Borković D
28 D. Schnegg D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
24 D. Lavalée M
8 A. Prass M
11 M. Sarkaria F
9 S. Włodarczyk F
Bench (12)
15 W. Bøving
10 O. Kiteishvili
25 S. Hierländer
38 L. Grgić
2 M. Johnston
35 N. Geyrhofer
31 L. Marić
5 G. Wüthrich
44 A. Dante
14 Javi Serrano
45 C. Wiener-Pucher
29 M. Fuseini

Coach: C. Ilzer

Rakow

3-4-2-1
1 V. Kovačević G
7 F. Tudor D
15 A. Kovačević D
3 M. Rundić D
22 D. Sorescu M
5 G. Berggren M
30 V. Kocherhin M
20 Jean Carlos M
77 M. Cebula F
27 B. Nowak F
19 A. Crnac F
Bench (8)
8 B. Lederman
99 F. Piasecki
93 S. Kittel
11 J. Yeboah
14 S. Plavšić
29 T. Mras
12 A. Tsiftsis
9 Ł. Zwoliński

Coach: D. Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Glova · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.