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Europa League
Referee: M Oliver
Atalanta
S T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,74 xG 1,56
43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -23 Sp Lisbon – Atalanta 1–2

Match report

Atalanta Sp Lisbon
11′
🟨 Gonçalo Inácio
1–0 G. Scamacca
T. Koopmeiners
23′
Ademola Lookman 🟨
38′
Giorgio Scalvini 🟨
42′
Sead Kolašinac 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Geny Catamo
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
46′
🔁 M. Edwards
↦ Trincão
56′
M. Edwards 1–1
V. Gyökeres
Marten de Roon 🟨
62′
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
64′
L. Muriel 🔁
↦ G. Scamacca
64′
Aleksey Miranchuk 🔁
↦ T. Koopmeiners
69′
77′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ M. Hjulmand
81′
🔁 S. Coates
↦ J. St. Juste
E. Holm 🔁
↦ S. Kolašinac
86′
M. Bakker 🔁
↦ G. Scalvini
87′
91′
🟨 Hidemasa Morita
94′
🟨 Matheus Reis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
42 G. Scalvini D
19 B. Djimsiti D
23 S. Kolašinac D
33 H. Hateboer M
13 Éderson M
15 M. de Roon M
22 M. Ruggeri M
7 T. Koopmeiners F
11 A. Lookman F
90 G. Scamacca F
Bench (12)
8 M. Pašalić
9 L. Muriel
59 Aleksey Miranchuk
3 E. Holm
20 M. Bakker
29 M. Carnesecchi
99 M. Cissé
46 T. Del Lungo
25 M. Adopo
43 G. Bonfanti
31 F. Rossi
21 N. Zortea

Coach: G. Gasperini

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
3 J. St. Juste D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
42 M. Hjulmand M
5 H. Morita M
2 Matheus Reis M
17 Trincão F
9 V. Gyökeres F
8 Pote F
Bench (11)
21 Geny Catamo
10 M. Edwards
11 Nuno Santos
4 S. Coates
51 Diogo Pinto
72 Eduardo Quaresma
14 Dário Essugo
13 Luís Neto
90 Afonso Moreira
12 F. Israel
20 Paulinho

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.