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La Liga

Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero

Barcelona

S S S S S

7–2

Full-time

Santander

U T S T S

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Santander

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

5,2

3,8

Scored

4,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+3,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

5,0

3,6

Scored

4,2

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

6,74 xG 1,98

69% Possession 31%

30 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

18 Corners 0

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 1. · Santander 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+17	+9.6	15
2	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	+11	+10.4	15
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+8	+3.3	13
4	Sevilla	6	4	1	1	+3	-0.6	13
5	Betis	5	4	0	1	+1	+0.3	12
6	Alaves	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.1	10
7	La Coruna	6	2	3	1	+2	-1.6	9
8	Espanol	6	2	1	3	+2	-1.5	7
9	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+1	-1.1	7
10	Santander	5	2	1	2	+0	+2.0	7
11	Vallecano	6	2	1	3	-5	-5.0	7
12	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.2	7
13	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	-7	-0.6	7
14	Levante	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
15	Getafe	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.2	5
16	Celta	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.6	4
17	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-8	-0.1	4
18	Malaga	5	0	3	2	-6	-3.3	3
19	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	+0.6	2
20	Elche	6	0	2	4	-8	-6.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+10	+5.9	9
2	Alaves	4	3	0	1	+6	+1.5	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	+1.5	7
4	Santander	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.9	7
5	Vallecano	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.6	7
6	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
7	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.1	6
8	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.3	6
9	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.5	5
10	Espanol	3	1	1	1	+2	-0.4	4
11	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.8	4
12	La Coruna	3	1	1	1	+1	-0.9	4
13	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.4	4
14	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.7	4
15	Levante	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.7	3
16	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.8	2
17	Celta	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.0	1
18	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-6	+0.3	1
19	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.6	0
20	Elche	3	0	0	3	-7	-6.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+12	+3.8	9
2	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.8	7
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	0	1	+2	+1.8	6
4	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.5	6
5	Betis	3	2	0	1	-1	+0.4	6
6	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.7	5
7	Espanol	3	1	0	2	+0	-1.1	3
8	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
9	Celta	3	0	3	0	+0	+0.5	3
10	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.4	3
11	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.4	3
12	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-6	-1.0	3
13	Elche	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.2	2
14	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
15	Levante	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.7	2
16	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.6	1
17	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-6	-4.1	1
18	Santander	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.1	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Vallecano	3	0	0	3	-7	-3.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.