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Europa League
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Ararat-Armenia
T S T U S
1–4
Full-time
Sparta Praha
S T T S T
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ararat-Armenia Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,93 xG 2,53
42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 13
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

14. Aug -25 Ararat-Armenia – Sparta Praha 1–2 7. Aug -25 Sparta Praha – Ararat-Armenia 4–1

Match report

Ararat-Armenia Sparta Praha
20′
⚽ T. Guddal 0–1
A. Karabec
22′
⚽ T. Guddal 0–2
Half-time 0–3
53′
⚽ J. Mercado 0–3
J. Alcocer
1–3 B. R. Wilson Valdez ⚽
Sandro Lima
55′
A. Serobyan 🟨
57′
Franca Carlos 🔁
↦ Benny
58′
61′
🔁 M. Vojta
↦ J. Brunes
61′
🔁 P. Vydra
↦ H. Sochurek
69′
🔁 M. Jurasek
↦ J. Mercado
69′
🔁 A. Irving
↦ A. Karabec
71′
⚽ P. Vydra 1–4
M. Jurasek
J. A. Balanta 🔁
↦ H. Oliveira
72′
Z. Shaghoyan 🔁
↦ A. Serobyan
72′
79′
🔁 J. Zeleny
↦ M. Rynes
A. Ambartsumyan 🔁
↦ Z. Banjaqui
80′
A. Eloyan 🔁
↦ Sandro Lima
80′
E. Grigoryan 🟨
88′
K. Muradyan 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 João Bravim G
3 Junior Julio D
47 Alexandros Malis D
43 Bruno Wilson D
16 Edgar Grigoryan D
2 Hugo Oliveira M
19 Karen Muradyan M
70 Bernardo Dias M
77 Artur Serobyan F
91 Sandro Lima F
11 Zidane Banjaqui F
Bench (11)
1 Arman Nersesyan
5 Luís Felipe
14 Bruno Pereira
7 Zhirayr Shaghoyan
8 Juan Balanta
10 Armen Ambartsumyan
17 Maxence Carlier
20 Alwyn Tera
95 Carlos França
9 Arayik Eloyan
25 Alioune Ndour

Coach: Tulipa

Sparta Praha

4-3-3
44 Jakub Surovčík G
2 Martin Suchomel D
22 Loïc Mbe Soh D
6 Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal D
11 Matěj Ryneš D
10 Adam Karabec M
28 Roman Macek M
38 Hugo Sochurek M
17 John Mercado F
14 Jonatan Braut Brunes F
7 Josimar Alcócer F
Bench (12)
47 Krisztián Hegyi
54 Lukas Franc
15 Viktor Vitályos
30 Jaroslav Zelený
3 Pavel Kadeřábek
5 Santiago Eneme
18 Andy Irving
21 Joao Grimaldo
26 Patrik Vydra
31 Matěj Jurásek
27 Ebrima Singhateh
29 Matyáš Vojta

Coach: Brian Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,95
🔒
U
4,10
🔒
B ✓
1,65
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
🔒
U1,5
4,40
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,69
🔒
U2,5
2,20
🔒
O3,5 ✓
2,62
🔒
U3,5
1,47
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,67
🔒
BLS nei
2,11
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.