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Super League
Referee: J von Mandach
Thun
U S U T T
2–4
Full-time
Servette
S U T T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Thun Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
2,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
71%
29%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
4,1
1,9
Scored
1,6
0,7
Conceded
2,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 5
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Thun 10. · Servette 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lugano 7 6 1 0 +13 +2.5 19
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 +9 +4.2 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 +12 +5.5 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 +2 -0.5 13
5 St. Gallen 7 3 1 3 -2 +4.2 10
6 Zurich 8 3 1 4 -6 -5.0 10
7 Luzern 8 2 3 3 -5 -2.8 9
8 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 -7 +3.1 8
9 Servette 7 2 1 4 -3 +1.0 7
10 Thun 7 2 1 4 -7 -5.2 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 -2 -3.6 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 -4 -3.4 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Thun Servette
4′
Kingstone Mutandwa 0–1
29′
Mathis Lambourde 0–2
Lilian Njoh
31′
🟨 Bradley Mazikou
fabio saiz 🟨
36′
1–2 fabio saiz
Nils·Reichmuth
38′
Mattias Käit 🔁
↦ Nassim Zoukit
45′
Half-time 1–2
Jan Bamert 🟨
47′
2–2 fabio saiz
54′
Nicolas Bürgy ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
Furkan Dursun 🔁
↦ Noah Christoffersson
64′
Olivier Mambwa 🔁
↦ Tom Strannegard
64′
65′
Teo Allix 2–3
66′
🔁 David Datro Fofana
↦ Kingstone Mutandwa
66′
🔁 Jesper Karlsson
↦ Mathis Lambourde
69′
🟨 David Douline
Nico Maier 🔁
↦ fabio saiz
72′
74′
🟨 Jesper Karlsson
Patrik Kristal 🔁
↦ Nicolas Bürgy
77′
84′
🟨 Marco Burch
86′
David Datro Fofana 2–4
Jarell Simo
86′
🔁 Ivan Izquierdo
↦ Jarell Simo
92′
🔁 Sylvain Claude Djoho Filho
↦ Lilian Njoh
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Thun

4-4-2
1 N. Steffen G
47 F. Fehr D
5 N. Bürgy D
19 J. Bamert D
18 T. Strannegård D
70 N. Reichmuth M
16 J. Roth M
13 N. Zoukit M
8 F. Saiz M
96 B. Labeau F
26 N. Christoffersson F
Bench (9)
25 T. Spycher
15 P. Kristal
37 L. Dähler
9 F. Dursun
14 M. Käit
80 S. Lengen
30 N. Maier
2 O. Mambwa
54 L. Passavant

Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli

Servette

4-3-3
1 E. Gertmonas G
17 Houboulang Mendes D
15 M. Burch D
34 T. Allix D
18 B. Mazikou D
9 M. Stevanović M
28 D. Douline M
20 Jarell Njike Simo M
22 M. Lambourde F
7 K. Mutandwa F
14 L. Njoh F
Bench (8)
37 Sylvain Claude Djoho Filho
27 D. Fofana
42 Ivan Izquierdo
21 J. Karlsson
36 Thomas Lopes
23 Q. Maceiras
41 T. Nunez
44 Louis Rieder

Coach: J. Gourvennec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,25
U
3,60
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,14
U1,5
4,80
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,35
O3,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5
1,57
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,44
BLS nei
2,53

Referee

J von Mandach · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.