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DBU Pokalen
Næsby
S T T S S
2–3
Full-time
Horsens
S T S S T
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Næsby Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,0
4,0
Scored
3,7
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
4,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+4,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Næsby 8. · Horsens 29.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Esbjerg 3 3 0 0 +15 9
2 Roskilde 3 3 0 0 +11 9
3 Vanløse 3 3 0 0 +7 9
4 Middelfart 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +15 6
6 Kolding IF 3 2 0 1 +10 6
7 Skjold Sæby 2 2 0 0 +9 6
8 Næsby 2 2 0 0 +8 6
9 Brabrand 2 2 0 0 +7 6
10 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +6 6
11 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +5 6
12 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 2 0 0 +5 6
13 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Aarhus Fremad 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Vatanspor 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 AB Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Lyngby 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 HIK 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Odense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Frem 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Skovshoved 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 Sundby 3 2 0 1 -2 6
23 Nykobing FC 3 1 2 0 +2 5
24 Naestved 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +7 3
26 Thisted FC 2 1 0 1 +6 3
27 Tårnby FF 2 1 0 1 +5 3
28 Fredericia 2 1 0 1 +5 3
29 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +4 3
30 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +4 3
31 Espergærde 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 Marienlyst 2 1 0 1 +3 3
33 FC Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 KRFK 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Frederikssund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Aalborg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Sydkysten 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Fuglebakken KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 SGI 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 FC Helsingor 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 OKS 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Allerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Brønderslev 2 1 0 1 -2 3
48 Avarta 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Skive 2 1 0 1 -3 3
50 Lyseng 2 1 0 1 -3 3
51 Såby 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Munkebo 2 1 0 1 -4 3
53 Viby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 ASA Aarhus 2 0 1 1 -4 1
55 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Vejgaard B 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Morud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Varde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Holbæk B&I 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Hvidovre IF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Ishøj 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Boldklubben FIX 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Aalborg KFUM 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 B 93 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 Aabenraa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 GVI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Vaerlose 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Føroyar 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Køge Nord 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Silkeborg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 Kolding B 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Aarhus Black Vipers 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Hobro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Slagelse B&I 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 tst Fodbold 1 0 0 1 -5 0
90 Hedensted 1 0 0 1 -5 0
91 Handelsstandens 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 BSI 1 0 0 1 -6 0
93 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -6 0
94 Maribo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Skanderborg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Bogense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 Aabybro 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 Glamsbjerg 1 0 0 1 -8 0
100 Vaeggerlose 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Aug -25 Næsby – Horsens 1–2

Match report

Næsby Horsens
1′
A. Justinussen 0–1
38′
🟨 O. Kolskogen
A. Kjaergaard 🟨
40′
41′
J. Bonde 0–2
J. Tauriainen
Half-time 0–2
M. Schou Jorgensen 🔁
↦ K. Host
46′
53′
🟨 J. Bonde
1–2 M. Schou Jorgensen
55′
R. Knudsen 🔁
↦ A. Kjaergaard
56′
63′
🔁 K. Bimpong
↦ J. Bonde
64′
🔁 K. Lusavec
↦ J. Korkko
64′
🟨 K. Bimpong
67′
A. Justinussen 1–3
K. Tonnisen 🔁
↦ R. Larsen
73′
73′
🔁 K. Ehibhatiomhan
↦ J. Tauriainen
A. Tomaselli 🔁
↦ O. Koertz
73′
2–3 A. Tomaselli
R. Knudsen
75′
82′
🟨
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Næsby

21 F. Malang
22 L. Jensen
2 A. Molberg
5 V. Vestby
18 A. Kjaergaard
9 O. Koertz
15 K. Nyegaard
6 M. Stangerup
10 K. Host
20 R. Larsen
8 L. Larsen
Bench (8)
1 R. Jepsen-Jacob
16 R. Knudsen
28 M. Jorgensen
14 A. Tomaselli
4 O. Vingaard
23 M. Jensen
11 M. Schou Jorgensen
26 K. Tonnisen

Coach: A. Bech

Horsens

31 A. Hoff
30 S. Doua
35 M. Kupijbida
24 O. Kolskogen
7 I. Milicevic
19 J. Tauriainen
17 A. Herdonsson
6 J. Bonde
18 J. Korkko
15 A. Justinussen
22 J. Batigi
Bench (9)
23 D. Smarsch
44 T. Cocu
43 M. Bjerregaard
41 C. Jorgensen
20 K. Lusavec
16 A. Moro
42 K. Bimpong
11 K. Ehibhatiomhan
27 Y. Ouorou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,51
U
4,50
B ✓
1,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,07
U1,5
6,15
O2,5 ✓
1,32
U2,5
2,90
O3,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5
1,85
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,45
BLS nei
2,50

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.