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La Liga
Levante
T U S U T
Ath Bilbao
T T S S U
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The model's reading of the match in plain language: expected goals, favourite probability and what the form says.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
60%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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🔒 Where the model differs from the market Pro

The markets where our estimate differs most from the odds — the core of Pro.

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The table now Levante 14. · Ath Bilbao 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 5 5 0 0 +17 +9.6 15
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 +11 +10.4 15
3 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +8 +3.3 13
4 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 +3 -0.6 13
5 Betis 5 4 0 1 +1 +0.3 12
6 Alaves 6 3 1 2 +5 +3.1 10
7 La Coruna 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.6 9
8 Espanol 6 2 1 3 +2 -1.5 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 -1.1 7
10 Santander 5 2 1 2 +0 +2.0 7
11 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -5 -5.0 7
12 Sociedad 6 2 1 3 -5 -3.2 7
13 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 -7 -0.6 7
14 Levante 5 1 2 2 -2 -0.0 5
15 Getafe 5 1 2 2 -3 -3.2 5
16 Celta 6 0 4 2 -3 -2.6 4
17 Valencia 6 1 1 4 -8 -0.1 4
18 Malaga 5 0 3 2 -6 -3.3 3
19 Villarreal 5 0 2 3 -3 +0.6 2
20 Elche 6 0 2 4 -8 -6.3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Levante

4-3-3
13 M. Ryan G
29 Nacho Pérez D
4 Dela D
3 IfeanyiIfeanyi Ndukwe D
23 Manu Sánchez D
8 Jon Ander Olasagasti M
20 Oriol Rey M
18 E. Bardeli M
27 Paco Cortés F
9 Iván Romero F
24 T. Fernández F
Bench (12)
6 Reque
33 M. Santos
16 A. Tape
10 P. Ratkov
22 J. Toljan
7 Brugui
11 Yanis Musuayi
14 Jorge Cabello
1 Pablo Cuñat
17 Víctor García
36 I. Galdin
2 A. Mandi

Coach: Luís Castro

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
31 J. Louis-Jean D
4 Aitor Paredes D
14 Aymeric Laporte D
17 Yuri D
16 Ruíz de Galarreta M
18 Mikel Jauregizar M
23 Robert Navarro M
8 Oihan Sancet M
7 Álex Berenguer M
21 Maroan Sannadi F
Bench (12)
12 Jesús Areso
24 Beñat Gerenabarrena
11 Gorka Guruzeta
13 Álex Padilla
6 Beñat Prados
20 Alejandro Rego
15 Hugo Rincón
22 Nico Serrano
9 I. Williams
10 Nico Williams
5 Yeray
25 Álvaro Djaló

Coach: E. Terzić

May be missing

Injuries and suspensions reported before the match. The final squad is only confirmed with the line-ups.

Levante

Etta Eyong Injury
A. Primo Shoulder Injury
Hugo Sotelo Knee Injury

Ath Bilbao

U. Egiluz Knee Injury
D. Vivian Hamstring Injury
Peio Canales Muscle Injury
Gorka Guruzeta Hamstring Injury

Odds comparison

Bookmaker odds fetched 4 days ago — the market may have moved since.

1X2
H
3,40
U
3,50
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,25
U1,5
3,75
O2,5
1,83
U2,5
2,02
O3,5
2,88
U3,5
1,37
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,63
BLS nei
2,15

Referee

Not assigned yet — referee appointments are usually published in the last 24 hours before kick-off, and the referee stats will appear here then.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.