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Europa League
Referee: Manfredas Lukjancukas
Sturm Graz
T S U T S
0–0
Full-time
Rennes
T U S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,77 xG 1,82
38% Possession 62%
11 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Rennes
Half-time 0–0
A. Malic 🔁
↦ A. Vallci
46′
L. Balbo 🟨
51′
O. Diakite 🔁
↦ B. Beganovic
62′
F. Rozga 🔁
↦ G. Mamageishvili
62′
F. Ingolitsch 🟨
63′
73′
🔁 A. Nordin
↦ M. Tamari
73′
🔁 V. Rongier
↦ S. Szymanski
80′
🔁 E. Mayenda
↦ L. Blas
80′
🔁 A. Ait Boudlal
↦ B. Reynolds
S. Seidl 🔁
↦ L. Balbo
81′
J. Gorenc Stankovic 🔁
↦ V. Matoshi
81′
86′
🔁 B. Dia
↦ E. Lepaul
J. Gorenc Stankovic 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-4-2
53 Daniil Khudyakov G
2 Joshua Quarshie D
5 Albert Vallci D
30 Paul Koller D
27 Luís Balbo D
43 Jacob Hödl M
28 Jurgen Heil M
39 Luca Weinhandl M
78 Valmir Matoshi M
26 Belmin Beganović F
15 Gizo Mamageishvili F
Bench (11)
22 Ammar Helac
41 Elias Lorenz
21 Petar Petrović
23 Arjan Malić
4 Jon Gorenc Stanković
8 Filip Rózga
19 Simon Seidl
40 Julian Halwachs
14 Oumar Diakité
25 Leon Grgić
38 Jonas Peinhart

Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch

Rennes

4-1-4-1
30 Brice Samba G
14 Bryan Reynolds D
4 Charlie Cresswell D
24 Anthony Rouault D
18 Mahamadou Nagida D
45 Mahdi Camara M
10 Ludovic Blas M
17 Sebastian Szymański M
28 Adrien Thomasson M
11 Mousa Tamari M
9 Esteban Lepaul F
Bench (12)
16 Nicolas Lemaitre
60 Kilian Belazzoug
5 Gonçalo Oliveira
26 Quentin Merlin
36 Alidu Seidu
48 Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal
21 Valentin Rongier
12 Eliezer Mayenda
22 Boulaye Dia
70 Arnaud Nordin
90 Issa Soumaré
65 Henrick Do Marcolino

Coach: Franck Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,00
U ✓
4,00
B
1,82
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,14
U1,5 ✓
5,00
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,50
O3,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
1,62
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,49
BLS nei ✓
2,48

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.