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Europa League
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Anderlecht
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time
Lyon
S T U S U
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,43 xG 1,27
58% Possession 42%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 10
4 Blocked shots 2
8 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Anderlecht Lyon
8′
⚽ N. Nartey 0–1
22′
⚽ K. Nakamura 0–2
M. Ouedraogo
26′
🟨 M. Niakhate
44′
🟨 M. Ouedraogo
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 F. Bacher
↦ M. Niakhate
46′
🔁 N. Tagliafico
↦ M. Ouedraogo
M. Kana 🔁
↦ R. Amane
46′
1–2 M. Cvetkovic ⚽
A. Maamar
61′
65′
🔁 P. Sulc
↦ L. Openda
74′
🔁 M. Bidstrup
↦ N. Nartey
74′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ T. Morton
T. Bentayeb 🔁
↦ T. Aasgaard
74′
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ L. Ambros
74′
O. Antman 🔁
↦ M. Cvetkovic
85′
N. Ojea 🔁
↦ L. Augustinsson
93′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-3-3
26 Colin Coosemans G
79 Ali Maamar D
27 Léo Pétrot D
12 Andrew Omobamidele D
6 Ludwig Augustinsson D
8 Romeo Amane M
24 Enric Llansana M
19 Thelo Aasgaard M
10 Marten Winkler F
9 Mihajlo Cvetković F
18 Lukáš Ambros F
Bench (12)
32 Justin Heekeren
50 Kaïs Barry
55 Marco Kana
5 Oleg Reabciuk
68 Noah Kalonji
61 Joshua Nga Kana
83 Tristan Degreef
29 Mario Stroeykens
11 Oliver Antman
21 Tawfik Bentayeb
14 Danylo Sikan
53 Noa Thomas Ojea Cobiella

Coach: Vitor Bruno

Lyon

4-3-3
40 Rémy Descamps G
21 Ruben Kluivert D
22 Clinton Mata D
19 Moussa Niakhaté D
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D
6 Tanner Tessmann M
23 Tyler Morton M
99 Noah Nartey M
26 Kaïl Boudache F
17 Loïs Openda F
11 Keito Nakamura F
Bench (12)
25 Justin Bengui
1 Dominik Greif
13 Zachary Athekame
3 Nicolás Tagliafico
20 Felix Bacher
18 Khalis Merah
2 Mads Bidstrup
8 Corentin Tolisso
10 Pavel Šulc
45 Rémi Himbert
7 Ernest Nuamah
24 Julien Duranville

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
🔒
U
3,50
🔒
B ✓
2,30
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,20
🔒
U1,5
4,25
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
U2,5
2,17
🔒
O3,5
2,70
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,44
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,54
🔒
BLS nei
2,35
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.