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Europa League
Referee: O Berka
Ajax
S S S S S
5–0
Full-time
Maccabi Tel Aviv
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 68%
78%
57%
Points per game
2,4
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
56%
86%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
2,2
2,1
Conceded
0,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

3,68 xG 1,02
62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ajax Maccabi Tel Aviv
1–0 B. Traoré ⚽
B. Brobbey
14′
Daniele Rugani ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
26′
🟨 Gabi Kanikovski
2–0 K. Taylor ⚽
B. Brobbey
27′
3–0 M. Godts ⚽
39′
Kenneth Taylor 🟨
43′
Half-time 3–0
O. Wijndal 🔁
↦ J. Hato
46′
4–0 B. Brobbey ⚽
K. Taylor
61′
C. Akpom 🔁
↦ M. Godts
66′
S. Berghuis 🔁
↦ K. Taylor
66′
5–0 K. Fitz-Jim ⚽
S. Berghuis
69′
71′
🔁 H. Addo
↦ E. Madmon
71′
🔁 J. van Overeem
↦ G. Kanichowsky
C. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ B. Traoré
72′
J. Henderson 🔁
↦ K. Fitz-Jim
72′
72′
🔁 Weslley Patati
↦ I. Shahar
72′
🔁 O. Davidzada
↦ S. Jehezkel
Christian Kjelder Rasmussen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
75′
Owen Wijndal 🟨
82′
82′
🔁 E. Zahavi
↦ D. Turgeman
86′
🟨 Henry Addo
Jordan Henderson 🟨
90′
91′
🟨 Weslley Patati
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Ajax

4-3-3
22 R. Pasveer G
3 A. Gaaei D
24 D. Rugani D
15 Y. Baas D
4 J. Hato D
28 K. Fitz-Jim M
21 B. van den Boomen M
8 K. Taylor M
20 B. Traoré F
9 B. Brobbey F
11 M. Godts F
Bench (12)
5 O. Wijndal
10 C. Akpom
23 S. Berghuis
29 C. Rasmussen
6 J. Henderson
25 W. Weghorst
13 A. Kaplan
40 D. Ramaj
33 B. Tahirović
38 K. Hlynsson
12 J. Gorter
2 D. Rensch

Coach: F. Farioli

Maccabi Tel Aviv

5-3-2
90 R. Mishpati G
36 I. Shahar D
6 T. Asante D
18 N. Stojić D
13 R. Shlomo D
11 S. Jehezkel D
42 D. Peretz M
28 I. Sissokho M
16 G. Kanichowsky M
19 E. Madmon F
9 D. Turgeman F
Bench (12)
20 H. Addo
14 J. van Overeem
17 Weslley Patati
27 O. Davidzada
7 E. Zahavi
15 Y. Malede
55 N. Bitton
5 I. Nachmias
2 A. Cohen
4 S. Lemkin
33 H. Layous
23 S. Sluga

Coach: Ž. Lazetić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Berka · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.