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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
Sp Braga
S U U T S
2–1
Full-time
Maccabi Tel Aviv
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Maccabi Tel Aviv
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
2,2
3,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,31 xG 1,71
57% Possession 43%
31 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 2
11 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 2

Match report

Sp Braga Maccabi Tel Aviv
Tiago Sá 🟨
-5′
17′
🟨 Raz Shlomo
30′
⚽ O. Davida 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Ismaël Gharbi 🔁
↦ R. Guitane
46′
Roberto Fernández 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
46′
J. Gorby 🔁
↦ Vitor Carvalho
46′
66′
🔁 H. Addo
↦ E. Madmon
Yuri Ribeiro 🟨
68′
Roger Fernandes 🔁
↦ Yuri Ribeiro
70′
75′
🟨 Gabi Kanikovski
B. Arrey-Mbi 🔁
↦ João Ferreira
78′
78′
🔁 Weslley Patati
↦ D. Turgeman
78′
🔁 H. Layous
↦ O. Davida
1–1 Bruma ⚽
Roberto Fernández
88′
Roberto Fernández ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
93′
94′
🟨 Tyrese Asante
2–1 Bruma ⚽
95′
98′
🟨 Gabi Kanikovski
98′
🟥 Gabi Kanikovski
Roberto Fernández 🟨
99′
99′
🟨 Tyrese Asante
99′
🟥 Tyrese Asante
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
2 Víctor Gómez D
13 João Ferreira D
4 S. Niakaté D
25 Yuri Ribeiro D
6 Vitor Carvalho M
10 André Horta M
27 R. Guitane M
21 Ricardo Horta M
7 Bruma M
9 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (12)
20 Ismaël Gharbi
90 Roberto Fernández
29 J. Gorby
11 Roger Fernandes
26 B. Arrey-Mbi
80 João Vasconcelos
33 João Marques
12 Tiago Sá
19 Adrián Marín
77 Gabri Martínez
91 L. Horníček
53 Jonatás Noro

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-2-3-1
90 R. Mishpati G
6 T. Asante D
18 N. Stojić D
13 R. Shlomo D
27 O. Davidzada D
28 I. Sissokho M
16 G. Kanichowsky M
77 O. Davida M
42 Dor Peretz M
19 E. Madmon M
9 D. Turgeman F
Bench (12)
20 H. Addo
17 Weslley Patati
33 H. Layous
15 Y. Malede
48 I. Oli
2 A. Cohen
4 S. Lemkin
7 E. Zahavi
5 I. Nachmias
14 J. van Overeem
22 O. Melika
55 N. Bitton

Coach: Ž. Lazetić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.